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Alias Born 06/14/2001

Re: None

Tuesday, 08/11/2009 4:05:27 PM

Tuesday, August 11, 2009 4:05:27 PM

Post# of 16989
First real threat looks to be taking shape - have to look behind TD 2 - the ECMWF and GFDL models (most reliable last year) both have a new one running further south expecting to head towards lower Dominican. The GFS runs it quite aggressive and large by then, and CMC also shows same (although thats traditionally more garbage). Watch this one - ignore the rest. Potential gulf track depending on how it interacts with land.

Obviously real early, but that is why NSMG is still near its bottom.