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Re: Radhiker post# 1294

Saturday, 07/25/2009 4:24:13 PM

Saturday, July 25, 2009 4:24:13 PM

Post# of 8804
IMHO you can't look at a huge success story like HANS and say "This product is similar so the companies are comparable". Aside from the fact that it was a success, HANS was not an undercapitalized OTC stock when it took off.
In 2001 it had almost $100 million in sales and profits of $3 million. By end of 2003, sales were up to $135 million and profits were at $6 million. What did the stock do? Well from 1/1/01 through 6/30/03 it stayed within a range of a few cents of 50 cents/share. In the last half of 2003 it started to climb and ended the year at $1.
If you wanted to pay much less than 50 cents a share you had to buy pre mid 1998! So for a five year period, including the first profits and a large sales increase, you would have paid the same for the stock. Once it was successful and profitable for 3 years with sales going to $224 million in 2004 and $415 million in 2005, with profit of $20 million and $63 million, THEN you saw the price begin to move significantly. It clearly wasn't based on speculation or hype.

And today, with sales of about $1 billion a year and profits of over $100 million, what is HANS multiple of sales? About 2.6.

And that's the "out of the park" success story stock.

Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
GEORGE SANTAYANA

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