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Investment Newsletter Insights
Elliott Wave of Mutilation


By MarketWatch





One of the few newsletters that successfully navigated the market in 2008 believes that the market's rally has a bit more room to run. Unfortunately, as Peter Brimelow notes, the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast says that once the rally concludes, investors can expect a devastating deflation that takes the Dow Jones Industrial Average all the way down to 400.

Brimelow admits that he often finds the Elliott Wave Theory "bewilderingly complex," as the signals it produces can occasionally seem contradictory. And it's worth noting the extent to which the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast has been a beneficiary of the market's collapse. Prior to the onset of the bear market, this newsletter's "relentless bearishness" meant that it was a long-term market laggard.

In his Trading Strategies column this month, Mark Hulbert says that the rapid erosion in sentiment during June suggests that the rally could extend its gains. Hulbert reports that his Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index fell to levels that haven't been seen since early April, even though the market itself was down just slightly at the end of June. From a contrarian standpoint, this dramatic shift in sentiment bodes well for the market in the near term. -- Ari Charney, Portfolio Analyst

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