Saturday, June 27, 2009 8:06:43 PM
<<1) RD partnership - including IV CX-717, and the IV prodrug CX-1942 (note - the non-prodrug version of CX-1942 could also be used by the partner in its oral form). CX-1739 is excluded from this deal.>>
For the reasons I suggested a week or so ago, I don't think this is going to happen sans SA.
<<2) ADHD related partnership - including CX-1739, plus a backup, or alternately, include 2 preclinical low impacts but not CX-1739. Partnership could be for ex-US rights, or alternately, for all global rights.>>
Biovail paid Acadia Pharma $30 million upfront for ACP-103, which on the one hand is in PhIIb, but that is in a relatively small indication. It has the possibility of expanding into larger areas later. CX1739--which would be included, has only indirect POC, but also may be applicable to another large indication. But because companies who care about ADHD may not care about RD/SA---actually I refer to Shire,since JNJ could care about both--this is probably on the high side.
<<3) High impacts related partnership - includes the lead compound CX-1846, plus a backup, or alternately, a deal for the whole high impact platform.>>
Lilly bought $17 million of NeuroSearch stock as the upfront payment on an ion channel discovery program. The Cortex high impact program may be more advanced, but is probably seen as higher risk.
<<4) RD as in #1 above, but also including SA rights (without full SA trial data).>>
See #2.
<<5) A licensing deal with Schering/Merck for several of Cortex's new generation preclinical low impacts.>>
See #3.
<<6) Monetize the future milestone/royalty stream from Schering's Schizo/Depression properties.>>
Since I don't know how those trials turned out, it's impossible to guesstimate.
NeuroInvestment
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