Saturday, June 06, 2009 5:42:02 PM
UPDATED: 11:30 am EDT, June 6, 2009
The Atlantic and east Pacific are nice and quiet today with no areas of concern to discuss. We are seeing a little more in the way of deep thunderstorms developing in the southwest Caribbean. This is likely the beginnings of what the GFS model has been showing for several days now- the potential for tropical cyclone formation. That model in particular has been very persistent in trying to develop something in the western Caribbean and there continues to be reasons to believe it could actually happen. A more favorable upper level pattern is going to set up across that region over the next week to 10 days and there is a trigger mechanism by way of a tropical wave coming in from the east and generally low pressures in the area to begin with. So while today and tomorrow will be void of any problem areas in the tropics, we will want to watch the western Caribbean much closer as we progress through next week. I'll have more here on Monday morning.
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