Thursday, June 04, 2009 3:14:58 PM
As the present moment, strong upper level winds and just generally unfavorable conditions prevail over most of the Atlantic Basin. That looks to change slowly over the next week to 10 days with a more favorable upper air pattern setting up in the western Caribbean Sea. In response, the GFS operational model, for example, develops a storm in that region within the next 120 hours or so. Other models also hint at lowering pressures in the western Caribbean with an likely increase in deep tropical convection as a result. It's just something to monitor as we get in to next week.
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