Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC)

[bstar33]

If FITB could go up 600% dont count ABK out!

From another board FWIW RE: MOASS!!!!

"A week before earnings and the price goes up 80%. The day of the annual shareholders meeting the price goes up 40%. The only slow down was the day the dow lost 150 points, yet by the end of the day ABK had lost less than 10% of its gain on the week (from $1.44 to $1.32). The day after the pullback, ABK gained another 20+%.

1) Monday morning, ABK will announce losses lower than what the analysts forecast. Considering the recent run up, this in and of itself will not be enough to cause any significant change in the share price.

2) Monday morning, ABK will release a forward looking statement that is dramatically different than analayst predictions of future losses. This will cause a significant change in the stock price to the upside as the so called experts scramble to put a new value on this company. In pre market trading, ABK's stock price will rise on this information alone.

3 Due to the positive news ABK releases prior to the open of regular trading, its share price will open around $1.70-$1.75. Once all the traders who look for positive earnings reports get on board shortly after the bell, ABK will see a share price of $2.00 by 10:30 EST.

4 A sharp sell off will depress the stock price back to the $1.80 level as investors pocket gains that were made as a result of last week's sell off to $1.23.

5 During the Conference Call, ABK will announce that it has receieved the go ahead and ratings to move forward with Everspan, and not only that, its own ratings on the junk bonds will be upgraded due to its lower than expected losses and new business model.

6 The ABK stock price will close around $2.30 on Monday. In after market trading the stock price will see $3.00 as investors scramble to put a new value on and become invested in this stock.

7 By Wednsday, ABK will trade over $3.50 a share. At this point the so called experts will be blasting their opinions over the air and the general public will help to push the closing price to $5.00 per share by next Friday.

8 After Friday, there will be a two week long process of shaking out the turds. After that, expect to see a stock price of $7.00 on the last trading day of the month. "