InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 35
Posts 3249
Boards Moderated 4
Alias Born 12/18/2002

Re: Frank Pembleton post# 18832

Tuesday, 04/21/2009 11:47:11 AM

Tuesday, April 21, 2009 11:47:11 AM

Post# of 19037
I hear you... Finally finished with tax season and reading more on deflation. The jury is still out, but I have a much greater respect now for deflation and trying to find safe banks for keeping cash. Too big to fail likely not to last.

I am beginning to believe that people such as Hugh Hendry, Mish, and others may well be right. Namely, quantitative easing has never worked throughout history as Hendry states.
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/02/fiat-world-mathematical-model.html

"Since the 1870s, three extended deflations have occurred--two in the U.S. from 1874-94 and from 1928 to 1941, and one in Japan from 1988 to 2008. All these deflations occurred in the aftermath of an extended period of "extreme over indebtedness," a term originally used by Irving Fisher in his famous 1933 article, "The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions." Fisher argued that debt deflation controlled all, or nearly all, other economic variables."

In short, I think quitting is the better part of valor for the next few months...

Good luck Frank!

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.