3:54 (Dow Jones) VIX has fallen to almost a two-month low, which Barron's Bob O'Brien notes isn't surprising given the fact that the market's recent path has been mainly in one direction. "Traders haven't let losses swell too dramatically before they step as buyers," he says. VIX has historically decreased in a bull market as falling prices tend to make investors edgier than rising ones. "Whether the VIX's performance suggests there's legs to the bull market is a question of an individual trader's perspective: that is, should the VIX be interpreted as a lagging indicator, so it's telling us what we've been doing, or as a leading indicator, telling us where the market is headed?" (SMR) (http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2009/04/03/fear-factor-mellows-as-v ix-eyes-break-below-40/)
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