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Re: davidam post# 552

Monday, 03/16/2009 3:29:05 PM

Monday, March 16, 2009 3:29:05 PM

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davidam, thank you..."The Inverse ETF's which relate to the EAFE are EFU and EFZ"...

Eastern Europe has borrowed an estimated $1.7 trillion, primarily from Western European banks. And much of Eastern Europe is already in a deep recession bordering on depression. A great deal of that $1.7 trillion is at risk, especially the portion that is in Swiss francs. It is a story that could easily be as big as the US subprime problem.

It is not clear how it will all play out. But there is real risk of Europe dragging the world into a longer, darker night. Their banks not only have exposure to our US foibles, much of which has already been written off, but now many banks will have to contend with massive losses from emerging-market loans, which could be even larger than the losses stemming from US problems. Plus, they are more leveraged.GLTY


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