Wednesday, May 22, 2002 10:38:49 AM
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. (VSH: $25) 05/22/02
Highlights from Vishay (Siliconix) Plant Tour in CA
Annual EPS Prev. EPS
12/03E 1.80
12/02E 0.65
12/01A 0.89
Rating: BUY 12-Mo. Target: $36
Yesterday, we met w/plant mgr of Siliconix (80% owned by VSH and 20% of VSH's total revs), a maker of pwr & analog semi products for pwr mgnt and conversion applications.
Our visit gave further support to our investment thesis on VSH that due to the growing exposure to its highly value-added and higher-margin discrete semi biz (57% of 1Q02 total revs), VSH should be first amongst its peers to bounce off bottom & experience strongest GM expansion.
Key takeaways: 1) Seq Booking Trends Continue – We believe Siliconix (SILI-$33.23-NR) is continuing to experience seq improvement from 1Q02 based upon increasing booking trends throughout April & May, as well as expanding lead times (at 8-10 wks up from 7-8 wks in 1Q02). Also, mgmt indicated current orders being placed are fulfilling short-term forecasts rather than custs building inventory for future long-term consumption.
2) End Demand – End markets which continue to drive seq bookings improvement include consumer (29% of revs – i.e., Sony PS2 (SNE-$58.05-NR)), computers (28% - i.e., laptops) and auto (6%). Mgnt indicated wireless handsets (22% of revs) are beginning to experience improvement across all geogs.
3) Capacity Utilization – Capacity utilization is currently operating at 70-75% which, going forward, we believe could result in mitigating ASP decline (-3% seq in 1Q02) and improving gross margins (at 29% in 1Q02).
4) New Product Introduction – Siliconix is on pace to introduce 140 new products this year (up 8% from 130 new products introduced in 2001). Typically, new products introduced in last 2 years represent 25-30% of total revs. We reiterate our Buy rating on shares of Vishay.
Troy
Troy
Those who shoot from the hip usually end up just shooting themselves.
Plan the grub and grub the plan.
Where is the party tonight? Who is bringng the drinks?
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