The analysis below confirms the bear market trend into mid July 2009. However it is increasingly unlikely that DJIA 6,600 will hold and therefore the bear market is targeting a trend towards a break of the lower target of 6,000. The anticipated trend is as illustrated in the below graph as after possible further immediate term selling is for the DJIA to target a rally to resistance of 7,900 and thereafter resumption of the bear trend to below 6000. However my longer term forecast of a multi-year bull run 'so far' still stands as after the bankrupt financial stocks have reached total wipeout, well there is not much further lower that the markets can be dragged following the July lows as evidenced by the Nasdaq's relative strength due to the fact it contains no financial stocks.
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