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Re: Conrad post# 363

Friday, 05/03/2002 8:12:59 AM

Friday, May 03, 2002 8:12:59 AM

Post# of 8728
Conrad,Some times you jump in with both feet to fast! Do you realize that you were rude to Pragmatico, and that you should apologize to him! At the very least you should look at the man's spreadsheet before saying what you did. It may be that he made a error in it, or it may be that he is right in what he said.
I don't think that you played around much with that Synchrovest spread sheet I sent you.

First Pragmatico said that he started out with 10,000 dollars,not $125 a month. So in the (cash to invest this time) column you put in $10,000 in the first month, the rest of the months you put in $0.

The next thing you must realize is that the 10,8,5,4,5,8,10, stock cycle is a very extreme cycle. You just copy that into the price column. If I remember right the spread sheet I sent you did not go to 120 months, so you will have to copy some rows until you have 120 of them.
You are now ready to play with the settings at the top, have fun.

Note we don't know what Pragmatico's cash acceleration setting does. I do know that my (Second Cash Amount is Triggered at this Multiplier) and (Second Cash Amount Max buy is Limited to this Percent of Cash) works as a delay, so we will have it set at 1.0 and 100% respectfully. Set (Planned Monthly Investment)
to $600 and (Percent To be Invested Immediately) to 100%. Set (Sell Profit Percentage) to 50%.
Note in Mr. Lichello's book he went to 7 years and 7 months, or 91 months.

Lets look at Synchrovest's total profit at 91 months. $43,294,731.29 and at 120 months $566,762,752.22!

So Conrad, I think your formula is in error.

I think that most of you might agree that we should be prepared override the signals of our precious trading systems rather than being a slaves to them.
I could not have said it better.




Come see me at Systematic Investing group #board-966 lets talk formula plans.

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