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Post# of 76351
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Thursday, 10/02/2008 6:05:28 PM

Thursday, October 02, 2008 6:05:28 PM

Post# of 76351
The Nine (9) Major Sectors of the Economy

Sector Charts are at end, 10min and Daily Charts, side_by_side.




This theoretical model is based on
Sam Stovall's "S&P's Guide to Sector Rotation"

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0070522391/qid=966178673
and states that different sectors are stronger at different points in the economic cycle. The graph above shows these relationships and the order in which the various sectors should get a boost from the economy. The Market Cycle preceeds the Economic Cycle because investors try to anticipate economic effects. The PerfChart at the top of this page tries to help you see this effect.

 
Stage: Full Recession Early Recovery Full Recovery Early Recession

Consumer
Expectations: Reviving Rising Declining Falling Sharply

Industrial
Production: BottomingOut Rising Flat Falling

Interest
Rates: Falling BottomingOut RisingRapidly Peaking

Yield
Curve: Normal Normal(Steep) FlatteningOut /Inverted



=====================================================

 
The Nine (9) Major Sectors of the Economy

(presented left to right, and down is Economic Rotational experience)
XLY, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLE, XLP, XLV, XLU, XLF
(Each of these is an ETF, and is Tradeable.)

XLY= Consumer Discretionary XLK= Technology
XLI= Industrials XLB= Materials
XLE= Energy XLP= Consumer Staple
XLV= Health Care XLU= Utilities
XLF= Financials

====================================================
"How Are the 9 Major_Sectors_Doing?" by Chi2 09/29

Http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=32524487

Todate Performance Graphs (you can pick Starting Date)
http://stockcharts.com/charts/performance/perf.html?xlf,xly,xlp,xlv,xli,xlu,xlk,xlb,xle

====================================================


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