The wnbd Company 'Business Plan' ,,,
from the wnbd ibox, after being 'released' by the wnbd CEO,
is copied below. Followed by some UNbiased analyses :
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" WBC has designed its business plan to pass through 6 Phases; Initial Operations Phase (Annual Sales less than $1 Million), Implementation Phase (Annual Sales of $1 Million to $3 Million), Growth Phase (Annual Sales of $3 Million to $5 Million), Self-Sustaining Phase (Sales between $5-50 Million), Established Phase (Sales between $50 Million and $100 Million), World Phase (Sales over $100 Million). "
" In 2007, Winning Brands is in the Initial Operations Phase. The Initial Operations Phase is characterized by more research than sales and more testing than actual distribution. In general terms, this can be thought of as the phase during which the starting foundation is laid for the subsequent phases. It is expected to be approximately one year in duration. The Initial Operations Phase is not a profitable phase. Operational developments of a material nature during the Initial Operations Phase are disclosed by means of News Releases. The Implementation Phase for WBC is targeted to commence during 2008. It is important for investors in an early stage firm of this type to realize that the company's potential resides in its growth prospects within the increasingly important environmental sector related to market developments in this sector - not the company's balance sheet or current financial strength. An investment in Winning Brands Corporation is highly speculative but takes place within a sector widely regarded as growing. "
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Now, for the analyses :
1] It's just a 'plan' from a pinky CEO ; so,
it's optimistic, AT THE ABSOLUTE BEST.
2] The wnbd CEO hides All Sales Facts ; so,
there is No Way for any wnbd common 'share'holders
to ever know, or even project Any progress against
'the wnbd plan'.
3] The Most Important Part of 'the wnbd plan' is the :
" Self-Sustaining Phase (Sales between $5-50 Million) "
4] Which is After three Guaranteed Money-Losing Phases :
" Initial Operations Phase (Annual Sales less than $1 Mil),
Implementation Phase (Annual Sales of $1 Million to $3 Mil),
Growth Phase (Annual Sales of $3 Million to $5 Million) "
5] So, the very first chance for wnbd to quit burning cash ,
is when "Sales" are "between" $5-50 Million. And, half-way
"between" IS $27,500,000 IN "SALES". THAT'S WHEN wnbd
MIGHT QUIT BURNING CASH; MOST OPTIMISTICLY, AS 'PLANNED' ,
BY wnbd's deliberately + strategically pink CEO.
6] And, these are wnbd "sales". NOT Distributer sales,
or Canadian Retailer sales; which includes costs+profits
for the ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN, including Manufacturers ,
+ distributers + retailers, and outside sales commissions ,
and multiple shippings + handlings , even WITHIN major
distributors + retailers.
7] So, for wnbd to have INTERNAL REPORTABLE CORPORATE SALES
of $27,500,000 ; we estimate that RETAIL SALES, through
Retail Chains + Retailing Distributers , MUST BE OVER
$100,000,000 , and probably closer to $250,000,000 ;
because, that's ~10-20% of Retail Sales , which is even
way better than P&G or J&J or Any Real Company.
8] How many years will it take until wnbd 'products' sell way
more than $100,000,000 Retail? Until then, wnbd burns cash.
9] That's 50% of the 'reason' why wnbd common keeps sinking.
10] The other 50% of the reason is wnbd's secret 'share'
structure. Where, everyone kinda knows that the common longs
can't possibly 'own' more than 49% of wnbd. And, probably
less than 20% , like Almost All Pinkys.
11] And, whenever pinky Insiders own at least 50.001% of All
'votes', they can just vote themselves up to 99+% , anytime
they think it's 'worth it'. And, they never even have to
tell Any Outsiders, or File Anything, or even ask them to
'vote'. That's why they're pink, and always will be, until
longs quit averaging-down.
extra, Sincerely.
P.S. ; Since wnbd deliberately, as a 'strategy' , always
hides All Important Financial + Share-Structure Facts ,
no common wnbd 'share'holder is allowed to know the basic
Facts about the 'deals' that wnbd has with its suppliers.
[Or distributers, or retailers, or anyone.] [But, let's
just think about suppliers, like SureFill, and all other
Non-Public supplier 'companies'.] OK, here goes. What if
the wnbd Insider[s] own the 'suppliers' , or parts of them ,
and have 'sweet deals' with them; whereby, the soap suppliers
and leaky bottle suppliers, soak up most of wnbd's possible
'net profits' , by charging 'just enough'. Then, the final
profits stay with the private suppliers, and never get to
the public wnbd. [Maybe that's why wnbd is a Totally
Non-Reporting Pinky. Or, maybe some other/more reasons, too.]
Who could ever know? Except the wnbd + supplier Insiders.
And, the wnbd common long fans don't even seem to care.
So, everybody is happy. Including the shorters.
wnbd's products seem to be good enough,
and spreading/leaking fast enough [they should fix that leak],
but, we shorters are betting that capital gains for
wnbd common 'share'holders won't trickle-down for years,
or ever, because there is No Reason for a pinky CEO
to ever deliberately leak his profits down to commoners.
