Zeev's Turnips Talk Politics (ZTTP)

[samaelrocks]

Democrats need a much bigger lead than that. LOL! Historically, Democrats are more popular in polls. Interestingly enough, Democratic ID's have been dropping since the 70's and Republican's increasing. But you can't trust the polls anyway:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/10/the_story_behind_the_polls.html

"October 30, 2006
The Story Behind the Polls
By Michael Barone

What's with the polls?

In 2004, the electorate that went to the polls or voted absentee was, according to the adjusted NEP exit poll, 37 percent Democratic and 37 percent Republican. In party identification, it was the most Republican electorate since George Gallup conducted his first random sample poll in October 1935.

But most recent national polls show Democrats with an advantage in party identification in the vicinity of 5 percent to 12 percent. Party identification usually changes slowly. Historically, voters have switched from candidates of one party to candidates of the other more readily than they have changed their party identification.

Over time, big changes in party ID can and do occur. When I started in the polling business, in 1974, national party identification was almost 50 percent Democratic and not much more than 25 percent Republican.

Since then, Democratic party ID has fallen, particularly in the South, where many voters who considered themselves Democrats found themselves voting Republican for president and, increasingly in the 1980s and 1990s, for other offices, as well."