Monday, July 28, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that Barack Obama’s Berlin bounce is fading. Obama now attracts 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 45%. Both Obama and McCain are viewed favorably by 56% of voters. Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.
Tracking results are based upon nightly telephone interviews with 1,000 Likely Voters and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Following his speech in Berlin, Obama enjoyed two very strong nights of polling on Thursday and Friday. His lead grew to six-points for results released on Saturday (see recent daily results). However, polling on Saturday and Sunday showed the candidates much closer with single-day results similar to polling from before the Berlin speech.
Obama earns the vote from 77% of Democrats, McCain is supported by 82% of Republicans. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. See other recent demographic highlights on Election 2008. Other key stats of Election 2008 are updated daily at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers.
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Premium Members can review the latest polling data on tax issues, health care, offshore oil drilling, and perceptions of discrimination. Also available are crosstabs and demographic results for Presidential race, Generic Congressional Ballot, and Issue Priorities for the full week ending last night. All premium data can be accessed by the Daily Snapshot.
Today at noon Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release favorability ratings for fifteen rumored Vice Presidential prospects. Premium Members can review this data now by checking out the Daily Snapshot.
Each Saturday morning, Rasmussen Reports also reviews the week’s key polls to see What They Told Us.
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows now Obama leading in states with 210 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 165 votes. When leaners are included, it’s Obama 273, McCain 227. Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a 63.2% chance of winning the White House.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters--is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.
A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning.
