'the productopn(sic) results' have yet to tell us exactly what is going on , since TIV has only provided actual production numbers through February ....
But you are correct , the forecasts are indeed rosy , along with those (temporary?) progressively higher daily rates they have put in PRs.
IMO , if TIV publishes actual production numbers which show sustained daily production close to some of those numbers in their PRs , things could get really interesting. They have two venues for publishing such numbers , via DOGGR (which is where the numbers in the two tables linked to above came from) or via SEC filings such as 10-Qs. With TIV taking the Confidentiality route with respect to the wells which are supposed to be providing the bulk of new production , we may well have to wait for the 10-Qs before we , and the forward-looking market , can try and figure out what's actually going on.
Congrats on your quick TIV trade from 6/16 to 6/18. Are you back in?
Playing the Russell-related jump has worked pretty well for 4 years now. Even though the PPS on Reconstitution Day hasn't gotten nearly as high as it did in 2005 , at least this year it was 39 cents higher than it was last year .... and there has been plenty of tradeable volatility in the weeks leading up to Recon. Day each year.
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