AbsoluteSKY (fka ABSY)

[downsideup]

Wow. There is actually a conversation breaking out here... which is perhaps more newsworthy in itself than the content of the some of the recent conversation ?

I'm not quite ready to throw rocks at the company for not putting out news at every opportunity when I'm asking them not to put out every little bit of news they could... just in order to be putting out news. I do think we should want and expect to see a transition occur now, that takes the company from delivering endless and identical forward looking "news" to delivering ONLY actual news of accomplishment after the fact.

Otherwise, in looking at patterns on the charts, I'm noting change in what I don't see... accelerations in share sales... and in what I do... declining volumes and pattern overlaps consistent with what we know of the company:

http://www.trending123.com/patterns/Bottom-Triangle-Wedge-Chart-Pattern.html

The explanations of the patterns are obvious given what we know of what the company is doing... including changing the past relationships between news and stock price movements. The trend here ought to be extended beyond a "normal" pattern development, if the company does what we are asking, and transitions from reporting every bit of forward looking potential as news to reporting only actual accomplishments.

To the degree charts are or can be predictive, and to the degree they reflect "real" changes in the business as the market becomes aware of them, instead of random market movements... what we see now makes perfect sense given what we know of the ongoing business developments. We know the market for ABSY's products is slow to adopt new technologies, and we know that they ARE adopting new technologies... albeit slowly. It looks to me like what we ought to expect now is "real" change that happens in fact right about now... in June and July... with an ability to report that news out as solid accomplishment, as things that HAVE happened rather than as things that WILL or MAY happen... some time around September.

If we see that transition from forward looking news to a roughly quarterly, retrospective reporting of sales and other accomplishments... we should expect to have about a quarter long lull in news now before noting that the news that we do get isn't prognostication.

Not a good thing to have complete and total silence, suggesting inactivity, for that entire period... and we've talked a lot here about how the company needs to have a more functional and focused communications effort... but I support the current lack of news if there isn't any real, solid accomplishment in the bag to be reported out yet.

I think the method applies MORE pressure on management and staff than the alternative: When non-news is reported as news, it is too easy to allow yourself to believe your own PR and think you are actually accomplishing things by generating news about potential. Set the bar for what is considered news higher... and the pressure to perform is increased...

Still, if the communications effort we get is "none"... some here will assume the company has gone or is going away and the shares will drift lower. If what we get instead is more of a "standby" message... one that CLEARLY suggests that in future news we will actually see this transition take place, with real news delivered only after the fact, "soon" in business terms, then the shares will likely trade higher in the range they have recently, between here and $0.05... and then, perhaps, moving much higher with news from a more solid base.

The communications effort will work better, even without news, when its focus is clearly understood... when we investors and the the company agree and have aligned our interests based on what news "is"...

From where we are now, any up move will likely generate new support... as the clock continues ticking, we're trading sideways and seeing the MAs coming down to where we are here. A little pop back up to or over $0.04 on anticipation of future events will put us up over the 120 day moving average... not the limit of the move people here want and expect to see... but, the sort of move on which you can find support and begin to build...

I'm looking to have Staples sign a contract and buy ABSY products that they actually PAY full fare for... still expecting the slow down in the economy will accelerate the trend here rather than delay it... still expecting Staples will be only the first, and that Staples/Fujitsu will enable others after the proof is in...