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Re: gumshoe22 post# 4077

Wednesday, 06/18/2008 1:35:11 PM

Wednesday, June 18, 2008 1:35:11 PM

Post# of 7284
Exactly gumshoe!

We have long wished for a 'one-two' punch in the past when some PR or event or rumor or speculation or Russell-buy-in or T.Gamble purchases had the price moving upwards. We always said something like 'now would be the perfect time for TIV to release the PR or production report stating/proving something huge!".

Up until now we haven't seen that wish fulfilled.

This particular Russell Season could well provide some very entertaining 'fireworks' or maybe even some nukes being lobbed back and forth LOL.

Picture this:

1) As I suggested , shorts waiting for the Russell-buy-in peak , or perhaps already prearranging another 1,000,000+ trade through the specialist wherein they sell (short) the shares which the Russell funds have to buy that day.

They arrange this because of exactly what I speculated happened in 2005/2006 , and because they don't believe TIV will have 'the goods' any time soon.

2) The trade goes off as planned , most likely at a share price substantially above today's share price , but not at too high of a price , because the Index Funds do have some negotiating power on their end of the deal and the last time they bought in they got clocked.

3) Within moments/days/few weeks after that trade occurs and the short interest is 1MM+ shares higher than it was a month earlier ... Lynn reports February , March , April and May production to DOGGR , for all wells including PV ... maybe even June'snumbers by that time .... proving that the PR'd numbers were either right on or awfully close to reality. Or maybe PR's something even bigger.

4) The shorts finally get caught in a short squeeze and the PPS rises appropriately , responding to both the news/reports + the short covering.

Nice story eh? ;)

It would be perfect timing , and would be one of two explanatory scenarios as to why the obviously very late DOGGR reporting has moved into the Penalty phase. (Those penalties aren't very high though , and might not deter the implementation of such a plan lol)

Here's hoping for just that sort of scenario , as opposed to the past times where Russell Season has represented one more spike in a downtrend.

jonesie

p.s. Nice consolidation today above that downtrend. Shoot , usually when consolidation takes place it causes a bit of a pullback , and we're not seeing much of that yet. I only call it 'consolidation' because of the huge number of shares changing hands today. No gap fill , no serious retracement as of yet , and TIV is still trading closer to the HOD than it is to the LOD.

Yorkville / Cornell Tracking Board #board-9964


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