InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 1
Posts 18
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 12/30/2007

Re: None

Monday, 06/09/2008 4:36:46 PM

Monday, June 09, 2008 4:36:46 PM

Post# of 462
Fuel shortage in china and valuation:

If:
WHD's Arkoma % produces 1 million Met coal production (current valuation per 1 million tonne annual unpriced Met coal for current producers = ~450milion in market cap per 1 million tonne)

and 10-25% of Lu'An's Xinjiang Coal Project would = ~2 million tonnes of coal/CTL for WHD production in 2-2.5 yrs = 300-600 million in market cap.
IMO

3-6pps possible in 2-12 months if all works out well in this coal pricing and coal investing market.

--------

as for fuel shortage:
companies in China that deal with fuel on a large scale like Lu'An (WHD) CTL projects get even more money and fast tracked.

http://cnluan.com/english/project.asp

http://www.westhawkdevelopment.com/news/newsrelease/2008/261/
--------------------------------
http://www.cs.com.cn/english/ei/200806/t20080605_1483476.htm

Fuel shortage poses policy dilemma


2008-06-05 08:56:00



A RENEWED fuel shortage has hit many Chinese cities over the past weeks, as independent refiners cut output to narrow their losses from the government's cap on pump prices.

This may pressure the government to reconsider its fuel price-setting policy, which is designed to tame inflation and shield low-income groups. Short supplies during the peak summer season may also spark social unrest.

In downtown Shanghai, Wang Qiang said he only managed to fill his car's tank after visiting six petrol stations over the weekend. It took him almost the entire afternoon, he said.

"The petrol station attendant told me they had run out of 93-octane gasoline so I had to switch to the pricier 97-octane, although I'm not quite sure whether that's suitable for my engine," said Wang, 29, a sales manager.

"Last year, people would probably have been very unhappy with any fuel price hikes. But today, my biggest concern is whether I can get the gasoline."

Fuel shortages have also been reported from Beijing to the southern Guangdong Province, China's main manufacturing hub and major oil consumer.

Crude oil prices, now well above US$120 a barrel in New York, are leaving China's refineries deep in the red - although the government has been handing out subsidies to trim their losses and encourage more processing. China last raised pump prices in November last year, when crude was about US$95 a barrel.

Although top government officials have said fighting inflation, already running near the highest level in almost 12 years, is the top task at present, its tight regulation on fuel prices, as well as utility tariffs, has been criticized.

Policies that maintain both subsidies and price caps are not conducive to energy conservation, and may hurt investment. And the fuel subsidy is actually subsidizing the whole world, given China's role as a prime manufacturer of exports.(Shanghai Daily)
Join InvestorsHub

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.