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Re: Tuff-Stuff post# 262751

Saturday, 03/22/2008 6:15:07 PM

Saturday, March 22, 2008 6:15:07 PM

Post# of 648882
A Brief History of "Silver Shortages"

There sure have been an awful lot of shortage scares since 1998, with silver projected to literally go to the moon just about every year since then, and yet somehow, silver has until recently managed to lag gold as an investment

To peruse an assortment of these nearly monthly 'independent analyst' reports, just follow this link:

http://www.google.com/search?q=+site:www.investmentrarities.com+silver+shortage+%27ted+butler%22&hl=en&rlz=1T4PCTA_enUS263&start=0&sa=N

A PERMANENT SHORTAGE OF SILVER (14 November 1998)
A practical definition of the word shortage as it pertains to a tangible commodity would evolve around supply being insufficient to meet demand. A more precise definition would refine the meaning of that insufficiency to apply to the inability of current production to meet current demand.
Ted Butler

SILVER INVESTOR (September 29, 2003)
http://www.silver-investor.com/charlessavoie/edmondson.htm
It is too late to avert the industrial silver shortage, but not too late to ... including Thomas Erickson (October 18, 2000)---"I was pleased to accept ...
www.silver-investor.com/charlessavoie/edmondson.htm - 22k

Silver Users - Grave Danger Ahead (March 24, 2000)
www.gold-eagle.com/gold_digest_00/butler032400.html
As of 12/31/99, Kodak had hedged its first quarter 2000 silver ... As the silver shortage reveals itself, all users will attempt to build inventory. ...
Ted Butler

Weekly Commentary (December 25, 2000)
ANSWERING THE ARGUMENTS AGAINST SILVER By Ted Butler ..... price becomes an extreme positive, when the silver shortage becomes evident. ...
www.investmentrarities.com/12-25-00.html

Weekly Commentary (September 22, 2003)
By Theodore Butler. As the hurricane-delayed Commitments of Traders .... But silver has shortage written all over it. Structural and long term deficit. ...
www.investmentrarities.com/09-22-03.html

WEEKLY COMMENTARY (February 12, 2002)
http://www.investmentrarities.com/02-12-02.html
Take my word for it, when the silver shortage hits, some users will panic. They will do anything to keep their production lines rolling. Only when the shortage scares them will they attempt to build silver inventories. The users drove palladium, at its peak, up to $1100/oz. from $60 ten years earlier, or almost 20 times, to keep those production lines running. You do the math – what’s 20 times the price of silver?
By Theodore Butler

Weekly Commentary Butler’s Bombshells (July 9, 2002)
Over 18 months ago, before it was widely known that the US was out of silver, Ted Butler wrote about this government shortage. He said, "Please remember ...
www.investmentrarities.com/07-09-02.html

Silver Users Fear Silver Shortage (2005)
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/hommel102505.html
Grass Valley, CA (silverstockreport.com) -- The Silver Users Association (SUA), a group devoted to the conflicting goals of keeping silver prices low and keeping silver available for users, stunned the silver investing community last month by repeating the claims made by silver investors and analysts that the silver market is very tight and that any significant investor demand will create a shortage of silver.
Jason Hommel

$200 an Ounce Silver? – Can it Happen? (June 14, 2004)
http://www.investmentrarities.com/06-14-04.html
But he cut me off, by asking, "Do you think it could hit $200 an ounce?" I answered, sure it could. And not only that, I continued, it could hit $500, or $1000. Then he asked me, "Why don't you write about that?" At first, I said I wasn't interested in weaving tales about sensationalized prices, as I preferred to stick to bedrock analysis and let the price unfold as it may.
Theodore Butler

For Investors In the Know (November 20, 2006)
Silver Stock Report
http://silverstockreport.com/email/investors.html
The growing silver shortage is driving investor demand and making silver the investment of the decade and silverstockreport.com has the details.
by Jason Hommel,

15th Consecutive Annual Silver Shortage! (December 2005)
www.thebullandbear.com/articles/2005/1205-silver.html
Investor psychology: With the fundamental supply, demand, and inventory figures for silver showing a near- and long-term shortage of silver, why hasn't the ...

Weekly Commentary (February 12, 2002)
www.investmentrarities.com/02-12-02.html
My point is that the silver users will panic worse than investors when the silver shortage becomes apparent. In the words of Ford’s CFO from that article, ...
By Theodore Butler


Silver's just as good as gold - MarketWatch(Sept. 16, 2005)
"As you analyze silver's potential, the fundamentals become powerfully bullish." The "chronic silver shortage ... is becoming more acute." ...
www.marketwatch.com/.../silvers-just-good-gold/story.aspx?guid=%7B327FFE0F-C053-4B3D-A87C-61FABA1D1E32%7D - 61k

Silver Users Fear Silver Shortage | Gold Editor ...Jason Hommel:
Silver Users Fear Silver Shortage, October 18, 2005
Grass Valley, CA (silverstockreport.com) ...
www.goldeditor.com/articledisplay.php?id=292 -
By Jason Hommel

Silver Shortage gets Worse, Price Drops Again! - SilverSeek.com
Silver Shortage gets Worse, Price Drops Again! By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock ... Camino Coin of Burlingame, CA says, There seems to be a silver shortage. ...
news.silverseek.com/GoldIsMoney/1206119500.php

Weekly Commentary (March 23, 2004) (The following essay was written by silver analyst Theodore Butler. .... Of course, a shortage in the physical market can override the paper transactions on ...
www.investmentrarities.com/03-23-04.html - 16k
Ted Butler

Silver Shortage: 19 dealers reported "Sold Out" - SilverSeek.comMar 20, 2008 ... Silver Shortage gets Worse, Price Drops Again! 21 March, 2008 ... Silver Shortage: 19 dealers reported "Sold Out" By: Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Report ...
news.silverseek.com/GoldIsMoney/1205995646.php - 47k

Weekly Commentary (September 10, 2002)
There was no silver shortage. Today, 22 years later, the world has since depleted inventories by over 2 billion ounces, ... Very truly yours, Ted Butler ...
www.investmentrarities.com/09-10-02.html

Weekly Commentary (Nov 8, 2005) ...
www.investmentrarities.com/11-08-05.html
(This essay was written by silver analyst Theodore Butler, ... All that’s missing in the existing silver shortage is widespread awareness ...
Ted Butler

Canadian Silver Bug: Silver shortage in the forseeable future.(November 2006)
canadiansilverbug.blogspot.com/2006/11/silver-shortage-in-forseeable-future.html
This shortage will happen it’s just a matter of when. The two factors that could start a run on silver and shortages early are risk tolerance by silver ...
by Lord of Wealth

Best of Jim Cook (December 27, 2005)
It’s the reason why Ted Butler thinks that silver provides the opportunity of a lifetime. He says that when the physical shortage in silver begins to ...
www.investmentrarities.com/bestofjimcook12-27-05.html




Greetings Fellow Silver Savvy Investors,

I like you got interested in Silvers potential growth back when it was around $12/oz. By the time I'd read Butler and listened to the videos on Monex about silver it was a year and a half later and Silver was 13.5
When I put down my first grand I was 14.00 by the time I'd put down some credit to buy 5.5K worth it was 14.20 to day its dropped but it is 16.40 its 3 months after I put down the 5.5K - I think its bound for the moon. God willing it will be in the next short while.






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If you take anything I say as advice, you're crazier than I am.

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