Thursday, March 20, 2008 12:16:37 PM
my holding this am.
Here is what I see as the most likely scenario....
May 2008: Coffee arrives pps soars to 1 cent per share
(I sell 1/5 of my holdings, hold 4/5 free shares)
July 2008: Sales begin slowly in US however, company pr
says "We see us turning a profit in 2009 4Q. PPS= .10
(I sell 1/5 of holdings)
October 2008: Far East sales beging in earnest
PR announces profits may come sooner PPS surge to .25
(I hold)
January 2009: Starbucks announces failed attempts at
reviving company. Ask to meet with HCFE officials
for advice. PPS breaks $1
June 2009: HCFE offers to buy out Starbucks. HCFE
now at $5
OCt 2009: Juan Valdez Jr. claims coffee is "no long
profitable." Says he will close up shop at the end
of the year. Walmart fills shelf space
with Healthy coffee. PPS- 7.50
(I sell another 1/5)
Jan 2010: HCFE announce new line of "healthy Tea"
along with buyback of 3.97 billion shares of company
stock. (Float back to 30 million) Shares surge to
$15 on news. (Sell the 4th part)
July 2010: HCFE mulls possible buyout from Kraft
foods for $30/share. Company rejects bid.
(I hold)
To da.......
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