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Re: berge post# 2823

Thursday, 03/20/2008 12:16:37 PM

Thursday, March 20, 2008 12:16:37 PM

Post# of 16760
For the sake of full disclosure I nearly doubled
my holding this am.


Here is what I see as the most likely scenario....


May 2008: Coffee arrives pps soars to 1 cent per share
(I sell 1/5 of my holdings, hold 4/5 free shares)


July 2008: Sales begin slowly in US however, company pr
says "We see us turning a profit in 2009 4Q. PPS= .10
(I sell 1/5 of holdings)

October 2008: Far East sales beging in earnest
PR announces profits may come sooner PPS surge to .25
(I hold)

January 2009: Starbucks announces failed attempts at
reviving company. Ask to meet with HCFE officials
for advice. PPS breaks $1

June 2009: HCFE offers to buy out Starbucks. HCFE
now at $5

OCt 2009: Juan Valdez Jr. claims coffee is "no long
profitable." Says he will close up shop at the end
of the year. Walmart fills shelf space
with Healthy coffee. PPS- 7.50
(I sell another 1/5)

Jan 2010: HCFE announce new line of "healthy Tea"
along with buyback of 3.97 billion shares of company
stock. (Float back to 30 million) Shares surge to
$15 on news. (Sell the 4th part)

July 2010: HCFE mulls possible buyout from Kraft
foods for $30/share. Company rejects bid.

(I hold)

To da.......


Cubs