Sunday, March 16, 2008 4:04:25 PM
P/E of comparable competitors:
In January 2008 Trane Inc. (TT) had a ttm P/E of 18.30, Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI) had 17.62 in January while KSW had a ttm P/E of 12.48 , which was 30% lower.
Today TT has 15.84 and JCI has 14.81 while KSW is at 10.03 which is again 35% lower than the average of his two bigger competitors (15.33).
Adding FIX (P/E 16.13) to the mix brings the avg. ttm P/E of the competitors to 15.6, so KSW is by any means valued at least 35% lower than its comparable competitors.
Looking at the most recent numbers,
TT had 34% less revenues and 47% less net income;
FIX had a 28% drop of revenues and 24% less net income;
JCI had 7.4% more revenue and 22% more net income;
KSW had stagnant revenues but 32% more net income than the year before.
None of the competitors has been as successful as KSW increasing the bottom line over the last FY.
Using todays average P/E of comparable competitors, KSW's fair value becomes 15.6 x 0.59 = $9,20
(Fair value last January: $9.72 )
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