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Re: Gmenfan post# 21765

Saturday, 03/15/2008 3:58:02 PM

Saturday, March 15, 2008 3:58:02 PM

Post# of 103302
Excellent question Gmenfan :) Looking at it specifically from Laidlaw's perspective regardless of status as a public company, I think the positive "green momentum" offsets the current financial sentiment.

A few points:
--There are federal and state programs to help research, development and fund biomass projects (e.g. the federal level http://www1.eere.energy.gov/biomass/ )
--One of the other BioMass projects I looked at I believe got a part of their financing backed by a federal program. I'd have to double check, but I think it was a California BioMass plant.
--Laidlaw engaged Greystone-- in part -- to tap into federal programs to help facilitate financing.
--Laidlaw has already received a NY State grant relating to Biomass technology.
--I think the climate for getting this type of energy project endorsed and sponsored/sheparded is ripe.

The "watch side" to market dynamics I believe is similar to the dynamics relating to ethanol. I had been tracking a development stage company with the intent to trade/invest in since mid-last year. They had a 3 plant project that would have boasted a very large ethanol production capability. After moving the project to the construction financing stage, it fell apart, mostly due to global/country dynamics. Corn price up/ethanol price down and the cost of construction went up with the upswing in oil price.

Back to Laidlaw, the forces here I see are relative to oil (cost to construct and transport the biomass) and the ultimate product -- power. Laidlaw IMO is smart in hedging both by locking in both portions of the financing deal and the sale of the RECs.

So IMO, all indicators still point favorable, but that is also why I see this as a milestone play-- each step should be checked against the market barometer :)

How many legs does a dog have if you call the tail a leg? Four; calling a tail a leg doesn't make it a leg.
Abraham Lincoln


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