Friday, January 18, 2008 4:41:16 PM
My posting tackled the ludicrousness of saying "never".
As for Intel getting above $30 this year, well that largely depends on whether the US economy tanks or not.
well , I don't have a crystal ball to say what will happen 20 years from now.When I said never ( less than optimal choice ) I was referring to 2-3 years down the road.Intel needs to deliver consistently over $2.5B of profits per Q to sustain $30.
I find this scenario highly unlikely.
1.As sales increase ASPs go down.
2.Costs will sky rocket at 32nm and below.
3.Competition from AMD.
Intel made $10B per Q in 2000 , in 2005 , now , etc.Wanna guess how units increased in the same time frame ?
They can't get over that amount or so it looks like.Why should they in the future ?
Silverthorne ? MIDs ? Will they have the same fate as Intel's communication push ?
Will that help or will Intel actually replace the $200 CPU it sells for a PC for a $20 chip inside a phone ?
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