Zeev's Turnips Talk Politics (ZTTP)

[seabass]

>>>Your quote again shows that there is increased security- he then goes on to SPECULATE that it won't last<<<


Actually that's not what the strategists are saying. Read this again, maybe twice:


"Privately, what the strategists are telling me is that things could turn on a dime. We could see the violence revert back almost instantly. However, their belief is that that won't happen."

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0711/20/sitroom.02.html


If they really understood the dynamics in play, shouldn't they be able to better explain the reasons for the drop in violence and shouldn't they be more confident that the drop in violence is more permanent in nature rather than something that can "revert back almost instantly"? Why would they even say something like that if as you keep harping "the surge has worked"?

One more thing. Who's a better judge on the result of the surge - you or the Iraqi people?


About 70% of Iraqis believe security has deteriorated in the area covered by the US military "surge" of the past six months, an opinion poll suggests.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6983841.stm