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Friday, 11/09/2007 9:09:04 AM

Friday, November 09, 2007 9:09:04 AM

Post# of 86373
Good Morning Spoozers:

Funny thing happened last night, I went to sleep thinking once again about this whole volume to PPS discussion we had yesterday. So I said my prayers and laid my head down for a good night’s sleep. I awoke with a revelation, funny how that works huh? I remembered back to my High School Geometry class. My teacher made us memorize theory after theory and law after law. So I went to www.dictionary.com this morning to refresh my memory about the meaning of these two words and how they relate to the investing world. Here is what I came up with:

Theory:

1.) a coherent group of general propositions used as principles of explanation for a class of phenomena: Einstein's theory of relativity.
2.) a proposed explanation whose status is still conjectural, in contrast to well-established propositions that are regarded as reporting matters of actual fact.
3.) Mathematics. a body of principles, theorems, or the like, belonging to one subject: number theory.
4.) the branch of a science or art that deals with its principles or methods, as distinguished from its practice: music theory.
5.) a particular conception or view of something to be done or of the method of doing it; a system of rules or principles.
6.) contemplation or speculation.
7.) guess or conjecture.

Law:
(over 20 listed definitions, I chose the following)

16.) a principle based on the predictable consequences of an act, condition, etc.: the law of supply and demand.

It’s funny how the definition even references “the law of supply and demand.” So it is a “given” once a principle has changed from a theory to a law according to my High School teacher. I’m not professing to be a math major but it sure makes sense that it’s volume pushes the PPS.

Now, we were reminded by our moderator MuchCompensation about the SWARM results with post, http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=24401853 . I was particularly looking at the following statement:

” All trading occurred in a third party account. The beta test period began July 2, 2007 and continued through July 18, 2007. For the beta period, only two spreads in the energy complex were traded. The following unaudited results were generated from account statements:

I then looked again at our resident expert on Tommy O’Brein’s book named “Timing the trade” for his volume #’s once again. Here is what Imperial Whazoo has posted several times about volume and PPS:

SPZI candlestick chart, as it went up (11 days):

Date volume open close % above
(mill) prior close
7-12 13.025 .0029 .0037 19.35%
7-13 27.327 .0038 .0042 13.51%
7-16 40.812 .0042 .006 62.16%
7-17 44.44 .007 .006 0%
7-18 17.603 .0065 .007 16.66%
7-19 13.513 .007 .007 0%
7-20 13.639 .006 .0073 4.48%
7-23 15.649 .008 .0099 35.61%
7-24 51.46 .01 .0105 6.06%
7-25 26.782 .011 .0125 19.05%
7-26 19.573 .0135 .0135 8.00%
Sum, vol: 283.823
avg daily: 25.802 / day
avg % daily gain: 16.807% / day



------//-----
SPZI candlestick chart, as it comes down (12 days):

Date volume open close % below
(mill) prior close
10/16 7.546 .01 .0085 - 10.52%
10/17 5.142 .01 .01 + 17.64%
10/18 6.722 .01 .008 - 20.00%
10/19 14.956 .009 .0085 + 6.25%
10/22 1.218 .0078 .008 - 5.88%
10/23 5.601 .0085 .007 - 12.50%
10/24 16.306 .007 .0063 - 10.00%
10/25 6.768 .006 .0065 + 3.17%
10/26 4.609 .007 .0065 0%
10/29 11.383 .0065 .0055 - 15.38%
10/30 18.009 .0055 .0039 - 29.09%
10/31 45.586 .0045 .0042 + 7.69%
Sum, vol: 143.846
avg daily: 11.987 / day
avg % daily gain: - 5.718% / day



SPZI candlestick chart, monthly:

Date volume open close % change
(mill) month to month
March 511.514 .0026 .0024 - 7.69%
April 345.194 .0025 .0019 - 20.83%
May 405.040 .0019 .0028 + 47.36%
June 286.280 .0029 .0027 - 7.14%
July 415.464 .0028 .0135 + 382.14%
August 252.885 .0135 .012 - 11.11%
Sept 119.211 .012 .0105 - 12.5%
Oct 177.336 .01 .0042 - 60.0%



Total vol during March to June
(prior to the upside breakout): 1.548 billion
Average monthly vol during March to June
(prior to the upside breakout): 387 million
Total monthly vol for July
(upside breakout month): 415.464 million
Total vol during Aug & Sept
(boyant during summer): 372.096 million
Average monthly vol Aug & Sept
(boyant during summer): 186.048 million
Total monthly vol for October
(current decline month): 177.336 million


Now add my spin into the mix. Look at the amount of volume we had from 7/2 to 7/18. Why you ask? I’m glad to tell you. All trading occurred in a third party account. The beta test period began July 2, 2007 and continued through July 18, 2007. I will not post those #’s. It’s better for people to discover things for themselves! Suffice to say one thing. People involved with the testing of SWARM must have been pretty impressed with swarm.

Why? Volume paints the picture as clear as day! The herd came in and bought and bought and bought. They bought both before and during and after the SWARM beta results were being compiled. They know what is about to happen here. This herd that I spoke of yesterday is more than content to wait now for everything to be revealed.

Now some want to attack Paul Strickland for not providing a needed PR. I ask, needed by who? Those that know what they own are happy to be grazing in the sunshine. If it was only up to Paul to get this engine fired up, I’m sure it would have been done. Again, we’re not selling hot dogs on the corner here.

Do you hear that? Sounds like opportunity knocking. You gonna answer it?

Boca_Bobby

Boca_Bobby

Mom said there would be days like this!