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Re: walldiver post# 4940

Tuesday, 10/23/2007 10:47:52 PM

Tuesday, October 23, 2007 10:47:52 PM

Post# of 12660
I was playing around with the AC numbers and the really fat separation does not occur until 30 months - even in 02A - and it's nice separation over time that drives p values. Applying the combined numbers to our enrollment estimates gives me 180 deaths a lot earlier than Sept 08. Does anyone have a p-value model for survival curves that I could play with sensitivities on?


alive
9901 6 mos 12 mos 18 mos 24 mos 30 mos 36 mos

Prov 91.5 76.8 67.1 52.4 43.9 34.1
Plac 93.3 66.7 55.6 40.0 24.4 10.7
dif -1.8 10.1 11.5 12.4 19.5 23.4
rat 0.98 1.15 1.21 1.31 1.80 3.19

9902a 6 mos 12 mos 18 mos 24 mos 30 mos 36 mos

Prov 92.3 72.3 52.3 44.6 41.5 31.6
Plac 90.9 69.7 45.5 39.4 27.3 21.2
dif 1.4 2.6 6.8 5.2 14.2 10.4
rat 1.02 1.04 1.15 1.13 1.52 1.49

Comb 6 mos 12 mos 18 mos 24 mos 30 mos 36 mos

91.9 74.6 59.7 48.5 42.7 32.9
92.1 68.2 50.6 39.7 25.9 16.0
dif -0.2 6.3 9.2 8.8 16.9 16.9
rat 1.00 1.09 1.18 1.22 1.65 2.06

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