Monday, October 15, 2007 2:46:47 PM
Harvard M.B.A.s indicate market top
Aaron Elstein
A record 40% of Harvard's latest crop of M.B.A.s went to work on Wall Street this year. That's a glaringly clear signal to sell stocks, according to Ray Soifer, a Harvard alumnus and former brokerage industry analyst who gathered the data and came up with the off-beat idea of using the numbers as a barometer of market trends.
Mr. Soifer advises investors to sell stocks any time that more than 30% of graduates from Harvard Business School choose to work for brokerage firms, private equity shops, or hedge funds. The thinking holds that if so many bright young people choose to do such mind-numbing tasks as crunching numbers, preparing Power Point presentations, or pricing collateralized debt obligations, that's a sure sign of a market top. Conversely, any time fewer than 10% take jobs on Wall Street that's a signal to buy stocks.
Mr. Soifer, a former analyst at Brown Brothers Harriman who got his Harvard M.B.A. in 1965, readily admits that his indicator is imperfect. In fact, 2007 represents the third straight year that more than 30% of Harvard M.B.A.'s have gone to Wall Street, yet the market has posted excellent gains since 2003.
Still, the Harvard data proved prescient in predicting the end of the technology stock bubble. Fully 30% of the school's M.B.A's entered Wall Street in 2000, just as the bubble collapsed and a three-year bear market began.
"The signal will be accurate one of these days," predicts Mr. Soifer.
That seems to be the story with most similar indicators 8-)
Recent RPRX News
- Royalty Pharma to Announce Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results on November 6, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/16/2024 08:15:00 PM
- Royalty Pharma Declares Fourth Quarter 2024 Dividend • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 10/11/2024 12:15:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/27/2024 12:39:00 PM
- Royalty Pharma and Ascendis Pharma Enter Into $150 Million Royalty Funding Agreement • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/03/2024 09:14:32 PM
- Ascendis Pharma and Royalty Pharma Enter into $150 Million Royalty Funding Agreement • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 09/03/2024 09:06:29 PM
- Royalty Pharma to Present at Morgan Stanley’s 22nd Annual Global Healthcare Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/28/2024 08:15:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/12/2024 11:20:32 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/12/2024 11:19:02 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/12/2024 11:17:16 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/08/2024 01:02:22 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/08/2024 11:20:53 AM
- Royalty Pharma Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 08/08/2024 11:00:00 AM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/07/2024 11:04:01 AM
- Form SC 13D/A - General Statement of Acquisition of Beneficial Ownership: [Amend] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/29/2024 08:30:11 PM
- Royalty Pharma Appoints Molly Sawaya as Executive Vice President, Head of Human Capital • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/24/2024 12:30:00 PM
- Royalty Pharma to Announce Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results on August 8, 2024 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/19/2024 12:15:00 PM
- Royalty Pharma Declares Third Quarter 2024 Dividend • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 07/17/2024 08:15:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/20/2024 12:03:31 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/10/2024 08:58:32 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/06/2024 09:06:32 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/04/2024 09:12:58 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/04/2024 08:57:02 PM
- Royalty Pharma to Present at the Goldman Sachs 45th Annual Global Healthcare Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 06/04/2024 08:15:00 PM
- Royalty Pharma Announces Pricing of $1.5 Billion of Senior Unsecured Notes • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 06/03/2024 09:15:27 PM
- Form FWP - Filing under Securities Act Rules 163/433 of free writing prospectuses • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 06/03/2024 08:59:57 PM
SANUWAVE Announces Reverse Stock Split, Note and Warrant Exchange, and PIPE Offering • SNWV • Oct 18, 2024 9:31 AM
Vocodia Addresses Recent Stock Price Movement and Future Strategic Partnerships • VHAI • Oct 18, 2024 9:00 AM
Mass Megawatts Announces the Start of an Online Discount Solar Energy Equipment Business with Revenue Recognized for the First Time Since Year 2010 in this Fiscal Quarter • MMMW • Oct 18, 2024 7:32 AM
Unitronix Corp Advances DeFi Innovation with Tokenized Real-World Assets Integration • UTRX • Oct 17, 2024 7:38 AM
Mass Megawatts Commences Solar Energy Sales Efforts • MMMW • Oct 16, 2024 7:45 AM
SANUWAVE Health Announces 1-For-375 Reverse Stock Split • SNWV • Oct 16, 2024 7:40 AM