1812 Brewing Company Inc (KEGS)

[emcee]

Phase One:
Identifying this phase is the key to ultimate success. This phase is identified by a steady support level on a stock and heavy increased volume. In other words, it is not going down below a certain price and has flat line when you look at the charts and the volume is a lot heavier than the 50 day moving average. In the best of world, this is the phase you want to get in on. Normally, the increased volume is the insiders buying more shares because of big news they are about to reveal thus why the stock price has stabilized. Just before the news is reveal the next phase will start. The climb phase.

Phase Two:
The phase is exactly what you would expect; the stock is starting to climb much faster than it has in the last few months. Early during this phase is when the average investor, non insider, is going to make money. If you have been privy to some solid due diligence then this is how you could actually purchase shares within 30 days of the stock taking off. If you purchase shares in the middle of this phase you more than likely will only see a moderate profit before it starts to churn. The late part of this phase is the wrong time to purchase this stock; you will more than likely be buying when others are selling which is the start of the next phase.

Phase Three:
As stated about the late climb phase, late investors are buying and early investors are selling. The price climb has all but come to a halt. You may believe that the company will keep going up and up and up, but very rarely does that happen that the company is overcapitalized and will keep pouring more valuation in its company (stock). You have to remember one thing the stock market is how companied raise capital from the public that they don t have to pay back. Many companies are waiting to see the churn and the price climb slow down this is an indication to them that the public well is drying up and they should take profits themselves. Obviously, they don t want to take every dollar out but believe me they are not going to miss this opportunity to take profits and when they do the price tumbles

Phase Four:
This phase is obvious the same intense climb in price will eventually be followed by a decline. How much of a decline depends on just how much the company needed to raise in the first place and how quickly the public jump on buying their stock. You will notice that a new support level will be established and the price will probably hover around that price for a while pending further news or filings. If you purchase this stock late in the climb phase this is going to be a painful period for you. Normally the first new support level will be between the middle and late purchase price of the phase two. Say a stock started at $1 a share insiders bought it up to $1.50, started to run and peaked at $3.50. Between $2-$3 is the middle of the phase two and is probably where the price will settle after the tumble.

MAJOR CONSIDERATIONS
VERIFIED SHELL STOCK LOOKING FOR AN ACQUISITION: it should be actively looking for a reverse merger. Verification can come from SEC reports, news releases, or verbally from company management.
EXPERIENCED MANAGEMENT: management must understand the mechanics of a reverse merger and know a good business opportunity. If management is not experienced, it is imperative they are working with an experienced consultant.
SEC REPORTING: it must report regularly to the SEC. This is known as a "reporting company." We want to be able to verify information about the company from public/legal filings . . . not by word of mouth or rumor. Believe it or not, there are public companies that are non-reporting.
CLEAN: it has little or no debt, no pending law suites, and little or no outstanding convertible securities (preferred stock or warrants). We don't want anything that can complicate the reverse merger.
SMALL NUMBER OF OUTSTANDING SHARES: the smaller the number of outstanding shares, the better. A smaller number of outstanding shares lessens the chance of a Reverse Stock Split. A Reverse Stock Split can lessen the chance of price appreciation.
LOW MARKET VALUE: basically, this is the buy low sell high rule. A Shell Stock with a low Market Value will have a greater chance of price appreciation than one with a high Market Value. (Market Value = price X shares outstanding). NOTE: the Profile List by Market Value sorts the Shell Companies from low to high Market Value.
CASH ON HAND: some Shell Companies have cash remaining from their previous business endeavors. Having cash to fund the new company's business plan will attract high quality candidates.

MINOR CONSIDERATIONS
TAX LOSS CARRY FORWARD: the new company can offset future net income with the Shell Stock's Tax Loss Carry Forward.
EXCHANGE LISTED: it is better for the Shell Stock to be listed on a stock exchange (NYSE, AMSE, NASDAQ, OTCB. But, there are some quality Shell Companies that are trading on the Pink Sheets.

INDICATORS
INCREASED VOLUME/PRICE: increased volume and price with no news may be an indicator of a potential reverse merger. Information on a reverse merger sometimes leaks out and insiders/family/friends start buying before the reverse merger is announced.
CORPORATE ACTIVITY: cleaning up debts, law suits, and issuing reverse splits can indicate management is getting the shell company ready for a reverse merger.


^^ thats SWVC to the TTTTTTTTTTT
(2 weeks ago...)
this stock will NEVER go below 2 cents again... and after our next run the LOW will be our old high of .086 just like .02 was our high when it spiked 2600% in june and now is our floor.

I just have to say that your truly and IDIOT if you think you should sell your shares anytime soon B/C like i said before and TG started me off with:

"If you go back and read one of the first 8-k on the aqusition of Wise Buys you can see that from 2003 until start of 2007 the five stores did just over $35,000,000.00 in total volume, divide $35 million by five and you get an average of 7 million per for the 5 stores...please remember this is a rough statement and just estamates.. now on to Hacketts in an other 8-k Tom said that the format for Hacketts betters suits what he wants to accomplish..if you know retail like I do and golden does that means they make more money...no body changes to a different format in retail unless its better then the one you got...so lets assume they are doing 10 mill per store based on that...so the combined would be anywhere from 8 to 9 mill per store..so using rounded numbers we come up with 10 million...also golden I will try to find it but some where I read that the average size of the Wise Buys was 28,000 sqauare feet, pretty good size for the product line they carry. I remember doing the math and that is were I came up with my figures....$7,000,000 in volume divided by 28,000 sq ft = $250.00 per square foot, now from my experience profit in the hardware line runs on average 35%, if these numbers are close then .10 is a very conservitive PPS in my opinion...what do you think?""

i had to think too...

"I've taken google earth and looked at ALL the stores and their surroundings, EXCELLENT placement for ALL of them to grow and become the leading retailer in the area :::FYI:::
The county's Office of Economic Development is the only one in the state where the IDA and now
Workforce Investment Board share staff. The decision-making boards are separate, but they share
workers, making interaction easier. Having staff that understands both fields is a boon because employers
and prospective businesses can get an overview of services from anyone, the study says.
The study cites the quick emergence of retail chain WiseBuys in 2003 as a partial product of the setup.
The IDA provided startup funding to the company and sent WiseBuys managers to the WIB's One-Stop
Career Center, which quickly set recruitment guidelines and created job descriptions. WiseBuys was
hiring within days.
Bureaucratic roadblocks may hinder other communities adopting a similar approach.


Their stores help create jobs in rural areas and bring products to families which might not have otherwise had them..

WISEBUYS LOOKING TO REINVENT THE REGIONAL
DISCOUNT CHAIN.
From: HFN The Weekly Newspaper for the Home Furnishing Network | Date: April 19, 2004 | Author:
Thau, Barbara
CANTON, N.Y.-WiseBuys, the discount/closeout retail hybrid, has the potential to become a $200 million chain in five years.

WiseBuys stores range from 40,000 square feet to 60,000 square feet.
The three-unit retailer plans to spread its wings outside of the New York
market to New England and Pennsylvania, said LaChausse, a former general manager
at BJ's Wholesale Club.
A fourth unit will open in Tupper Lake, N.Y., in May.
"We're projecting this year in excess of $20 million in sales," LaChausse said. "We have
hit all our sales expectations." The retailer has set its sights on becoming a 30-store
chain.

The retailer operates Do It Best lawn and garden shops in smaller markets where "no
Home Depot or Lowe's will come into," he said.
WiseBuys also operates RadioShack consumer electronics shops, and has leased
Payless Shoes shops in all stores.
The home business, a hefty 35 percent of sales, is unique in that the soft home mix
resembles that of a closeout resource, with department store brands at price points
typical of a T.J. Maxx or Marshalls, while the hard home mix reflects what a discounter would carry.
The bed and bath business reflects more opportunistic buys with names such as Wamsutta and SpringMaid, and designer goods from Ralph Lauren and Tommy Hilfiger."

.40-.50 is still conservative for even the simple moving averages.

09/11/07 Price crossed above 200-day moving average.
Alert Message
Price crossed above 200-day moving average.

Alert Definition
Moving averages plot the average price of a stock over a period of time. They smooth out all the "noise" of a stock’s day-to-day meandering, revealing the overall trend. If a stock’s daily price movement looks like random waves on the ocean, moving averages are the tide. And like the tide, they can move slowly and purposefully to a conclusion before reversing.
To calculate a short-term moving average for a stock, we simply add up its closing price for the past 50 market days and divide by 50. For a longer-term picture of the stock’s trend, we add up all the closing prices for the past 200 market days and divide by 200.

When a stock’s current price breaks above its average price for the past 200 days, it is considered to have broken its long-term trend. This is bullish because it means that every new buyer of the stock is willing to pay more than the average price paid for the past 200 days.

Listen to this:
http://www.wisebuysstores.com/media/072607jbwisebuyshacketts.mp3