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Re: hardballa80 post# 1402

Tuesday, 09/11/2007 11:30:25 AM

Tuesday, September 11, 2007 11:30:25 AM

Post# of 8473
I think the probability has never really changed over the last 6 months or so.
I believe 60-70% chance, only T - different mechanism of action and maintenance of LH/FSH is a huge plus
20-30% T plus libido/distress (thus requires more rigorous studies with more prescreening)
5%ish no clear clinical pathway, i.e. we don't know what you should measure

I believe the combination of poor outcomes for binomial events recently, a poor biotech tape and shaky markets have tilted the probabilities in some peoples' minds to far worse. The stock was just at $15! Proellex is as de-risked as it has ever been.
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