repost from InvestorVillage on China's copper needs.
"CitiCorp On When Will The Cycle End...
pg 12 of the report I referenced earlier this year.
"... The charts indicate that once GDP reaches $15,000-$20,000 per capita, metal intensity begins to plateau. China's GDP per capital is currently around $7,000 indicating that metal intensity is likely to continue to rise at strong levels for the next 5-10 years. By the time China reaches a GDP of $15,000/capita and assuming copper consumption per capita of 10 kg and a population of 1.4 bn, annual cooper consumption would be in the region of 14 Mt - 82% of 2006 total copper consumption and nearly four times China's 2006 consumption of 3.6 Mt".
Its going to take a lot of new mines to satisfy that (and it doesn't even address India or other developing economies).
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