InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 18
Posts 1829
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 01/11/2004

Re: None

Wednesday, 09/05/2007 8:13:36 PM

Wednesday, September 05, 2007 8:13:36 PM

Post# of 35733
repost from InvestorVillage on China's copper needs.

"CitiCorp On When Will The Cycle End...

pg 12 of the report I referenced earlier this year.

"... The charts indicate that once GDP reaches $15,000-$20,000 per capita, metal intensity begins to plateau. China's GDP per capital is currently around $7,000 indicating that metal intensity is likely to continue to rise at strong levels for the next 5-10 years. By the time China reaches a GDP of $15,000/capita and assuming copper consumption per capita of 10 kg and a population of 1.4 bn, annual cooper consumption would be in the region of 14 Mt - 82% of 2006 total copper consumption and nearly four times China's 2006 consumption of 3.6 Mt".

Its going to take a lot of new mines to satisfy that (and it doesn't even address India or other developing economies).

Monty"

http://www.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=4923&pt=msg&mid=2935985

It's better to be out wishing you were in than in wishing you were out.

"Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent". - John Maynard Keynes

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.