Re: Death rate from prostate cancer
>The 30% figure I cited and the numbers you [microcapfun] showed are not related because guys diagnosed with prostate cancer don't die the same year they are diagnosed.<
The numbers are indeed related and your 30% number is clearly wrong.
If prostate cancer in the US is in a steady state—or is close to being in a steady state—then the number of deaths per year divided by the number of diagnoses per year is a good estimate of the probability that a man with prostate cancer will die of the disease rather than of some other cause.
In order for your 30% number to be even close, prostate cancer in the US would have to be hugely deviated from a steady state, and that’s simply not the case.
I can see why you and the other DNDN proponents might want to overstate the risk of dieing from prostate cancer, but please try to stay a little closer to reality.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”
