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Re: sliverbullet post# 179

Tuesday, 07/03/2007 11:44:43 AM

Tuesday, July 03, 2007 11:44:43 AM

Post# of 1278
Silverbullet, 300t/day refers to the amount of rock being run through the mill, not the amount of gold produced. Historical grades there are 2.59 grams per ton. 300 x 2.59 x 85% (the historical recovery factor) gives you 660 grams per day of gold production. A gram is .0322 ounces so 775 x .0322 is 22 ounces of gold production per day. And Raven has to share this with partner Tara. At best, Raven can earn 60% of the project but only after spending $3+ million, money that it doesn't have, by the way. Based on Raven's current interest of 25%, Raven's share of the gold revenue is aproximately $1.2 million per year. And that's before cash costs, overhead expenses etc.

300 t/day is a TINY mill by industry standards. Raven has one property and it's current interest is only 25%, no NI43-101 compliant reserves, no cash, negative book value, and yet it has a market cap larger of well over $100 million; that's quite a bit higher than partner Tara, which has multiple properties.

Today's stock price has nothing at all to do with value; it's all the stock promotion. Raven will probably announce a private placement shortly. My guess is that it is in the 80c/unit range with at least one and perhaps two warrants attached. This, of course, will be very bad for the stock price. My six-month target is 25 cents.

"The things that will destroy America are prosperity at any price, peace at any price, safety first instead of duty first, the love of soft living and the get rich quick theory of life."
--Theodore Roosevelt