InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 306
Posts 20939
Boards Moderated 18
Alias Born 12/28/2002

Re: None

Monday, 05/21/2007 12:10:12 AM

Monday, May 21, 2007 12:10:12 AM

Post# of 1538
nsomniyak challenge. Like this idea. Maybe for the next suggestion we can name the couple of stocks that almost made our 6 picks. These are pretty much guaranteed to skyrocket! haha

Reasons for my 6:

DFNS.OB has great numbers for a stock trading at .57. Q1 earnings of .016/share vs. a loss last year. Q1 revenues up 114%. Decent balance sheet with .06/share in cash. Backlog up sequentially from $3.5M to $7.53M! They should have a monster Q2 coming up. Revenues of maybe $5-$6M with earnings of .02-.03/share. Stock could also get a pop on any sizable order PR.

AEY still cheap with earnings of .15/share last quarter vs. .09/share the prior year. Fiscal Q2 revenues up 29%. Think there is some confusion regarding the upcoming deadline. Company managed Q2 earnings of .15/share while only selling 9,000 converter boxes. They earned .14/share in Q1 and sold even less. Yet the stock is being discounted like a large chunk of their business is going away after the 7/1/07 deadline. These boxes accounted for $800K of their $16M in revenues last quarter. And 80% of those box sales were international, which will continue after the deadline. So everyone is worried about $160,000 in revenues last quarter? Business across the board is strong. Many customers needing to upgrade their bandwith requirements. Won't be sustainable, but they could see a spike in converter box sales in Q3...and possibly a .20 quarter.

SMID.OB had some nice numbers last quarter. Company earned a fully-taxed .082/share in their seasonally weak Q1 vs. .04/share last year. Q1 revenues up 21%, Q1 net income up 89%. Backlog down vs. last year, but up 32% sequentially. Seems like this stock should be trading closer to $3 than $2.

AYSI.OB disappointed last quarter, but they still would have earned nearly .01/share without the unusual tax expense. So think it has good recovery potential around .50 with the huge revenue growth. Q3 could be a lot better than Q2 considering the January shutdown, the addition of new employees, the booming mining sector, and the potential margin rebound. Think they could post Q3 earnings of .02-.03/share. Plus they've got an easy comp.

RADA has fallen back lately despite a strong Q4 turnaround. Company earned .06/share in Q4 vs. a loss the prior year, with revenues up 31%. CEO talked about "continued financial improvement" in the earnings PR. Also said in an interview earlier this year that after 2 years of investment, 2007 would be a breakout year (heard that one before!). Q4 may have been a total fluke (looking more likely after some large blocks have shown up on the ask recently), but they had a tiny profit in Q3 and they've got a VERY easy Q1 comp. So risk/reward still seems attractive on this underfollowed, thinly traded Nasdaq stock. Numbers should be out in a week or two. A repeat of Q4 will probably send it to $3-$4 from the current $2.17. Even if Q1 is a dud, results should still show a big improvement over last year and stock could shoot up later on a contract PR...which seems overdue.

CSPI had a stinky Q2. The reason being they didn't ship any of their Raytheon contract in the quarter. The remaining $13M is supposed to ship over the next 2 quarters. Plus it sounds like business at their other division is picking up. Could be looking at a .25-.30 quarter for Q3. They've got an easy comp, too. Factor in the $3.31/share in cash on the balance sheet, and this low floater could run to $12-$15 on a strong Q3 report.











Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.