Saturday, May 05, 2007 2:06:00 AM
Mar-key, first off, need to defend myself here, I didn't say I thought it was worth 10 million. I was asking itrade4profit what he thought it was worth since he seems to think we're still way over priced (#245000). This all started out when Xan made a statement saying it was 20-25mm undervalued (#244997). I was making a point that it depends on what value you believe the co. has.
So what do I think the co. is worth? Well, I see the potential for great revenue growth in the next 12 to 18 months. With that said, I am projecting 7.8mm in revenues for 2007 and over 15mm in 2008. If costs are controlled as stated in the 10K, then they will make a profit next year. When placing a value on a company like this, you must be forward looking. Yes, as of today, they lose money qtr after qtr so the present value is not all that great. But an investor doesn't buy or sell soley based on today's value. Given the fact that the infrastructure is already in place, I'd definitely pay more than $500K for GZ (the DVDs, Games, and other fixed assets alone are worth much more than that). 10mm might be a bit much, but I think several million is not out of the question.
Buying property won't give you the exponential growth possible in a co. like GZ. If that were the case, nobody would buy stocks. You're here, aren't you? Must be a reason you're not out buying property.
BTW, GZ is not the first co. to lose money day after day. On top of that, other co's are riddled with debt. And yet GZ gets hammered for it while the others' pps takes off.
So what do I think the co. is worth? Well, I see the potential for great revenue growth in the next 12 to 18 months. With that said, I am projecting 7.8mm in revenues for 2007 and over 15mm in 2008. If costs are controlled as stated in the 10K, then they will make a profit next year. When placing a value on a company like this, you must be forward looking. Yes, as of today, they lose money qtr after qtr so the present value is not all that great. But an investor doesn't buy or sell soley based on today's value. Given the fact that the infrastructure is already in place, I'd definitely pay more than $500K for GZ (the DVDs, Games, and other fixed assets alone are worth much more than that). 10mm might be a bit much, but I think several million is not out of the question.
Buying property won't give you the exponential growth possible in a co. like GZ. If that were the case, nobody would buy stocks. You're here, aren't you? Must be a reason you're not out buying property.
BTW, GZ is not the first co. to lose money day after day. On top of that, other co's are riddled with debt. And yet GZ gets hammered for it while the others' pps takes off.
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