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di4

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di4

Re: None

Friday, 04/20/2007 9:18:48 AM

Friday, April 20, 2007 9:18:48 AM

Post# of 482
3/30/2007 ***********************************************
ZACKS.COM PROFIT from the PROS
** Tactics that Work in Good and Bad Markets
*************************************************

Today's Topics: Friday - March 30, 2007

1) ZACKS RANK BUY STOCKS - Today we highlight four new stocks
with a short-term "Buy" or "Strong Buy" recommendation:
Titanium Metals Corp. (TIE), PartnerRe (PRE), Sotheby's
Holdings (BID) and Diana Shipping (DSX). Get these stories
below.

2) PROFIT TRACKS - UPGRADES AND REVISIONS - Discover stocks
with positive EPS estimate revisions and brokerage rating
upgrades.

3) ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH - Brazilian domestic interest rates
have fallen from more than 19% per year to 11.75% since
September 2005, with room for continued cuts throughout 2007.
Read the Analyst Interview article and get our Bull and Bear
Stocks of the Day.

4) INVESTMENT IDEAS - These retailers are global luxury brands
and they are helping Americans feel a little better about
their quality of life.

5) FEATURED EXPERTS - Dr. Melvin Pasternak, in his latest
StreetAuthority Swing Trader newsletter, expects a very broad
trading range in the S&P over the next several months.


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==============================================

1) ZACKS RANK BUY STOCKS

==============================================

Zacks #1 Rank stocks average a 31.8% annual return. Every day
on Zacks.com we highlight four new Zacks Rank Buy stocks. Each
individual stock is chosen based on how well they match the
criteria for the four main schools of investing: Aggressive
Growth, Momentum, Growth & Income and Value.

Aggressive Growth - Titanium Metals Corporation (TIE)

Titanium Metals Corporation (TIE) is enjoying strong demand
for its products and is focused on investment in expansion of
its productive capacity. The stock is only covered by one
analyst, but earnings estimates have jumped. Over the past 60
days, this year's estimates have risen 13 cents to $1.65 per
share. The stock is attractive at 17.9x next year's estimates,
below its projected growth rate of 25%. Read the full analysis
on TIE at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2505


Growth & Income - PartnerRe, Ltd. (PRE)

PartnerRe, Ltd. (PRE) exceeded analysts' earnings expectations
in 11 out of the past 12 quarters by an average margin of
23.0%. Consensus estimates for both this year and next are up
over the past two months. On Jan 25, the Board of Directors
announced an increase in the company's annual dividend by 7.5%
to $1.72 per common share. PRE has a current dividend yield of
2.5% and a five-year average dividend yield of 2.3%. Read the
full analysis on PRE at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2506


Momentum - Sotheby's Holdings Inc. (BID)

Sotheby's Holdings Inc. (BID) recently reported record
quarterly and full-year profits. The company detailed plans to
enhance its website, refocus on major clients and expand its
international presence. Though trading at 52-week highs,
Sotheby's should continue its upward trend. Read the analysis
of BID at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2507


Value - Diana Shipping, Inc. (DSX)

Diana Shipping, Inc. (DSX), a Zacks #1 Rank stock, reported
solid results for the fourth quarter in late-February. The
Board of Directors recently declared a cash dividend of 46
cents per share of common stock. Consensus estimates have been
trending higher for DSX. The company has a price-to-book ratio
of 2.7 and its return on equity tops that of the industry
average. Read the full analysis on DSX at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2508


Zacks Rank Resources

* Zacks Rank Homepage at http://at.zacks.com/?id=3113

* Zacks Elite: Discover Ben Zacks' hand picked #1 Rank stocks
on his Timely Buys list at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2554

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==============================================

2) PROFIT TRACKS

==============================================

Zacks.com is proud to share with you some of the best trading
strategies that truly allow you to Profit from the Pros. Today
we highlight...

Profit Track: Upgrades and Revisions

This strategy focuses primarily on Positive EPS Estimate
Revisions and Brokerage Rating Upgrades. Over the last 20
years Zacks Investment Research has proven that earnings
estimate revisions are the most powerful force driving stock
prices. Studies have also shown that stocks receiving upward
EPS revisions tend to receive additional upward revisions in
the future. Then consider that stocks receiving these upward
revisions generally have brokers upgrading their Ratings,
which is also a proven mover of stock prices. There are other
parameters to this strategy, but the Rating Upgrades and
positive EPS Revisions are the two powerful active
ingredients.

Here are four stocks that make the grade for the Upgrades and
Revisions Profit Track:

Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) recently reported fourth-quarter
earnings of 29 cents per share, surging past last year's five
cents and exceeding the consensus estimate by 21%. ASTE stated
that with a record backlog, good economy, highway funding
legislation in place, its efficiency initiatives and a strong
balance sheet, it is excited about what can be accomplished in
growing the business in both revenues and profits in 2007. The
company experienced earnings per share growth of 124% over the
past five years. Continue your research on ASTE at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2290

Biolase Technology Inc. (BLTI) has seen earnings per share
growth of 265% over the past five years, the highest five-year
track record currently listed under this Profit Track. BLTI
recently delivered fourth-quarter earnings of four cents per
share. The result blew away analysts' estimates of a one-cent
loss and soared past the previous year's loss of five cents.
The company mentioned that its quarterly performance was a
solid finish to a fiscal year in which BLTI saw improvements
throughout its business. Continue your research on BLTI at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2291

Horace Mann Educators Corp. (HMN) put together a five-year
growth track record of 23%. In early February, the company
posted fourth-quarter earnings that were ahead of the year-
prior quarter and beat the consensus estimate by 12%. HMN
noted that it produced solid earnings for the fourth quarter
and full year, and its growth initiatives continued to gain
traction. Results for the first quarter will be available on
May 3, 2005. Continue your research on HMN at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2292

MetLife Inc. (MET) released fourth-quarter and full-year 2006
results in mid-February. Operating earnings available to
common shareholders for the fourth quarter totaled $1.36 per
share. The result topped last year's $1.04 and beat the
consensus estimate by 15.25%. As one of its highlights, MET
noted that it achieved record operating earnings available to
common shareholders in Institutional Business, Individual
Business and Auto & Home segments. During the past five years,
MET produced earnings per share growth of 29%. Continue your
research on MET at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2293

To see the track details for this winning screen, go to
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2294

All the Profit Track strategies were created and backtested
using the Research Wizard software from Zacks Investment
Research. If you like this screening strategy, but want to
narrow down the list of stocks and even improve the
performance, then you should start a free trial to this
powerful stock picking tool. Learn more about the Research
Wizard free trial offer and our new special report "Top 10
Stock Screening Strategies" at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2295

****************************************************************


SCREEN OF THE WEEK

Don't Trade the Headlines

Kevin Matras explains why using a backtested trading strategy
is the only way to go:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2289


====================================================

3) ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH

====================================================

Bullish in the short-term on some of the bigger markets in
Latin America-particularly Brazil-Zacks senior analyst Claudio
Freitas, CFA explains to us why and where he sees emerging
strengths in the region.

Do you see the troubles in the U.S. housing market
contributing to Latin American market declines?

It is definitely a risk to be considered. Even though the
troubles in the U.S. housing market are a domestic matter, it
is beyond any doubt that the continued increase in housing
prices played an important role in the continued expansion of
the U.S. consumption. Thus any problems in this area could
trigger a reverse effect that will certainly reduce
international commodity prices, including some goods that are
exported by many Latin countries, like oil, steel, iron, pulp,
agricultural products, etc.

More...

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Zacks Equity Research continued...

Until recently, commodity prices were fueled up by continued
Asian demand, particularly from China. The million dollar
question now is if the Chinese economic growth will be able to
sustain the high prices of commodities even if U.S. falls into
a recession. In my opinion, the U.S. demand is still
important, however the economic growth in Asia will remain on
track regardless of the U.S. situation. Thus the crisis
hypothesis is unlikely, though some corrections/volatility
might occur.

Brazilian economic growth recently has been disappointing, but
the performance of the stock market has been quite positive.
Is it reasonable to expect that better economic performance in
the following years will further fuel the stock market there?

It is true that Brazilian economic growth has been
disappointing. In the last four years, the average annual
economic growth in Brazil was just 3.4%, well below other
emerging economies like China and India. For the near future,
there are some reasons for hope. Brazilian domestic interest
rates began to fall in September 2005; they went from more
than 19% per year to 11.75% now, and there is room for
continued cuts throughout 2007. In the medium term we believe
Brazilian interest rates will converge to international
standards.

Some weeks ago, the Brazilian government announced an
ambitious four year, US$235 billion infrastructure investment
plan, the so-called PAC, in order to increase economic growth
to somewhere around 5% per year. I really do not believe the
PAC will reach its target. Brazil needs some structural
reforms-in pensions, tax and labor-but the current government
doesn't seem eager to implement a reform agenda.

All considered, increased investments coupled with lower
domestic interest rates will be strong enough to grant a
growth in the 4% to 4.5% range in average in the following
years-still below other emerging economies. However, it is
important to note that the Brazilian stock market has a much
lower valuation (around 11x P/E) compared to other emerging
economies like India and China (around 20x P/E), thus the
Brazilian market has a considerable upside in the short-term,
mainly considering that the country should become investment-
grade within two years.

Read the complete ANALYST INTERVIEW article at
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2306

Claudio Freitas, CFA is a senior analyst covering the Latin
American markets for Zacks Equity Research.

****************************************************************

MORE FROM ZACKS EQUITY RESEARCH...

Analyst Blog

Real-time market insights from Zacks Equity Research Analysts.
Stocks featured recently include Xilinx (XLNX), Amylin
Pharmaceuticals (AMLN), GameStop (GME) and AstraZeneca (AZN).
See their latest posts at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2583


BULL OF THE DAY

GameStop Corp. (GME) - Well Positioned.
Full Zacks research report at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2281


BEAR OF THE DAY

Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN) - Overvalued.
Full Zacks research report at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2282


ZACKS INDUSTRY RANK

The Good and Bad Side of Higher Gas Prices

Higher fuel prices are helping oil refiners' profits, but are
also another headwind for trucking companies:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2362


EARNINGS TRENDS

Revisions Ratio for 2007 Drops to 0.80

Over the last four weeks, more estimates have been cut than
raised in every sector but Health Care:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2364


Rating Upgrades - (Premium)

Find out which stocks have been recently upgraded by
Zacks Equity Research:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=3007


Zacks Equity Research Buys - (Premium)

Read the reports on all of the stocks on the
Zacks Equity Research Buy List:
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****************************************************************

Learn More about Zacks Equity Research at
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Full access to Zacks Equity Research is now available on
Zacks.com:
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Zacks Wealth Management: Own all the Zacks #1 Rank stocks in a
portfolio managed by Zacks. Learn more at
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==============================================

4) INVESTMENT IDEAS

==============================================

The editors at Zacks.com constantly analyze the universe of
stocks to find you great stocks. Today, learn how you can
profit from Affluenza:

Outlined below are four retail stocks that have been reaping
the benefits of a strong global economy and Affluenza. These
companies are showing off record profits and soaring stock
prices and they don't seem to be affected by high gas prices
or rogue weather patterns.

Coach Inc. (COH)

Coach Inc. is a leading designer of leather handbags and
accessories, for both women and men. The company has also
expanded into fine jewelry, eyewear, outerwear, footwear and
office furniture.

In the company's latest earnings report, EPS rose to 61 cents,
three cents above expectations and 35.6% above year ago
numbers. Driving the surprise was a 29% increase in revenues
to $836.4 million. Strong results from the new Legacy
Collection, which has price points 45% above the company's
other core offerings, was especially well received.
International growth was encouraging as well, with sales in
Japan rising 18%.

Coach Inc.'s financial performance has been impressive. Since
2001, sales have increased at an average annual rate of 31%,
well above the five-year industry average of 15%. The
company's 2006 ROE of 40% is twice the industry average. In
addition, ROA has risen in each of the last five years and
stands at 33% for 2006, stomping the industry average of 15%.
Free cash flow has also seen consistent growth, comprising 22%
of revenues in fiscal 2006, well above the industry average of
11.8%. The company's profit margins follow a similar trend,
with gross margins increasing in each of the last five years.

Nordstrom (JWN)

Nordstrom, Inc. is one of the nation's leading fashion
specialty retailers, with stores located in a number of
states, including full-line stores, Nordstrom Racks,
Faconnable boutiques, and free-standing shoe stores. Nordstrom
also operates Faconnable boutiques throughout Europe.

On Feb 23, the company reported fourth quarter EPS of 89
cents, up 29% from last year, but one penny below
expectations. The near miss was the first in over 15
consecutive quarters. However, quarterly revenues rose an
impressive 15% to $2.6 billion, while same store sales grew
8.3%.

In a big comeback, while Walmart (WMT) and Federated (FD)
reported weak February same-store-sales due to cold weather
and storms, Nordstrom bucked the trend and posted same store-
sales-growth of 9.1%, beating analyst expectations of a 5.6%
increase. The company also announced plans to improve its
online operations and open new stores. Nordstrom currently
operates 155 stores, of which only 98 are full line Nordstrom
stores, allowing for plenty of growth opportunities,
especially in the East and South regions.

Of the stocks featured, JWN has the most compelling valuation.
The stock is currently trading at 15.9x 2007 expected
earnings, in line with respective market and industry
multiples. EPS growth over the last five years has averaged
46%, well above the industry's 16.9% growth. In addition, the
company's ROE of 34.9% and ROA of 14.2% are above the
respective industry ratios.

Read the full Investment Ideas article by clicking here:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=3548


==============================================

5) FEATURED EXPERTS

==============================================

Here we cast the spotlight on timely Featured Expert
commentaries that recently appeared on Zacks.com.

Resistance Manifests
Dr. Melvin Pasternak, in his latest StreetAuthority Swing
Trader newsletter, expects a very broad trading range in the
S&P over the next several months:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=1487


Market Jitters
Gregory Spear illustrates how jittery traders are regarding
the Middle East. Read his commentary and learn about his
energy holdings:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2968


Estimates Eroding Steadily
Mutual-fund expert Walter S. Frank discusses the erosion of
S&P earnings estimates in his latest MONEYLETTER newsletter:
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2463

****************************************************************

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investment philosophy that continues to vastly outperform the
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following results for investors:

* +31.8% average annual return since 1988 versus +11.8% for
S&P 500

* Outperformed S&P 500 in 17 of the last 18 years

* +43.8% total return from 2000 to 2002 - the worst
bear market in over 60 years.

* +18% in 2005

And just as importantly, the Zacks #5 Rank stocks (Strong
Sell) list has alerted investors as to which stocks to dump
from their portfolios to avoid unnecessary losses.

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FREE PORTFOLIO TRACKER

Do you believe that these events affect stock prices?

* Broker Recommendation changes
* Earning Estimate revisions
* Earnings Announcements
* Zacks Rank changes

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changes for your stocks? If you are one of the 45,000
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---------------------------------------------------------

We hope you enjoyed this issue of "Zacks.com Profit from the
Pros" and we look forward to visiting with you again tomorrow.

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If you enjoy this e-mail newsletter, then please pass it along
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Regards and Happy Investing,

Charles Rotblut, CFA

Senior Market Analyst
Zacks.com

p.s. What is the mission for Zacks Profit from the Pros?
To find out how we will help you become a more
successful investor, visit http://at.zacks.com/?id=2300

The Zacks Performance Rank performance is the total return
(price changes + dividends) of equal weighted portfolios,
consisting of those stocks with the indicated Zacks Rank,
assuming zero transaction costs and monthly rebalancing.
Simulated results do not represent actual trading and may not
reflect the impact that economic and market factors might have
had on decision-making if an adviser were actually managing a
client's money.

*The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the
prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip
stocks, selected by Standard & Poor's. The S&P 500 Index
assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect
advisory fees. An investor cannot invest directly in an
index.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future
results. Investors should always research companies and
securities before making any investments. Nothing herein
should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell
any security.

To contact us by mail:

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Attn: Profit from the Pros
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