Sunday, April 01, 2007 3:36:31 AM
Someone dumped 247,000 shares right at closing bell and dropped the price from 11.75 to 11.47
Piper Jaffray Upgraded the day before Earnings to OUTPERFORM with a $15.75 price target and they tank the stock?
The earnings were Great;I think people are confused because they IPO'd in December,full revenues are not reflected in the 10K,when they saw .41 for full year they freaked out,coupled with it being Friday,(daytraders left the building).
Keep in mind if you multiply out .35 4th quarter x 4 That's about 1.40 a year ,,however,I believe as they bring more on line that number will grow rapidly.Technically the P/E on this is more like 8 or 9 Instead of the 29 Shown on different websites.IT'S WAY UNDERVALUED.
IMO there is no reason this stock shouldn't be trading as high as PEIX or the other Ethanol Amigos.PEIX is still loosing money EPS,although decreasing losses,as they ramp up and are Trading at 17.00.AVR is sporting a P/E of about 13,VSE HAS p/e OF 19.29 (INSERT SURPRISED SMILEY HERE)VSE EPS WAS 1.03.
Just for Shlts and giggles ,let's say true EPS for USBE is 1.00 for yr. Which IMO is too low(1.40 seems more reasonable),but figure 1.00 anyway ,split the dif. between AVR P/E and VSE P/E 13.11 and 19.29,which gives a P/E of 16.2 Which is 16.20 a share for USBE.
I can see where Piper is getting the 15.75 and I think they are still undervaluing.
Looking into the future is what this stock is about.Placing the value on it into the future ramping up production ,as they come on line ,earnings will start to ramp with them.
Since stocks are valued on "future earnings" expect this to start heading North,and frankly should already be there,but hey the market is stupid sometimes,which creates opportunities.
I think Friday was BS and Monday it should head north after everyone has had a chance to understand more about the earnings call over the weeekend.
Record revenues,record earnings,growth stock!
Corn is coming down in price,oil is going up!
The company seems to be poised for more Acquisitions and/or developments of their own production facilites.
I also expect more upgrades coming from other ANAL-LYSTS UPGRADES HERE >>>>
http://www.briefing.com/Investor/Public/Calendars/UpgradesDowngrades.htm
The company sounded a little COY on some of the questions on the conf. call,but I expect that is due to the competition and they don't want to tip their hand on any "other" plans they might have in the works.The market is becoming highly competitive.
HayyyyyyyoooooooBBBBB!
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