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Sunday, 03/25/2007 8:08:41 PM

Sunday, March 25, 2007 8:08:41 PM

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NFI - Large Cap News: Daily Market Alert for Novastar Financial Inc.
Friday 03/23/2007 2:37 PM ET - M2
NovaStar Financial seeks to bring a little cosmic harmony to its subprime clientele. Through subsidiary NovaStar Mortgage, the real estate investment trust (REIT) originates primarily single-family, nonconforming loans via a network of wholesale loan brokers and mortgage lenders throughout the country. (Noncomforming loans typically bring in higher origination fees and interest rates and are less subject to general interest rate levels.) The REIT handles the loan process from start to finish: Following origination, it securitizes and sells the loans and maintains contact with borrowers. NovaStar Home Mortgage brokers nonconforming and conforming loans for investors including NovaStar Mortgage.

Shares were down 5% subprime mortgage crisis may leave few independent players.

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The subprime mortgage crisis will likely decimate the crop of specialist companies that sprouted during the boom years of the sector, analysts said this week.

Companies like New Century Financial , NovaStar Financial and Accredited Home Lenders will probably be acquired or will shut down.

Bigger, more diversified mortgage banks such as Wells Fargo , Countrywide Financial and Washington Mutual will take their place, along with investment banks including Bear Stearns, Morgan Stanley and Lehman Brothers , the analysts said.

Subprime mortgages are sold to home buyers with lower credit scores. Surging house prices and record low interest rates earlier this decade, coupled with investors' growing need for high yielding assets fueled a boom.

Last year, subprime mortgages were a $600 billion business that accounted for roughly a fifth of all home loans, according to industry publisher Inside Mortgage Finance.

But as borrowing costs climbed and the housing market cooled, the subprime sector spiraled into a crisis.

Several lenders in the business have gone bankrupt, including Ownit Mortgage Solutions, ResMAE Mortgage and Mortgage Lenders Network USA.

Others, such as Equifirst and ECC Capital's mortgage unit, have been sold and more firms are on the block.

"It's unlikely that any of these mono-line subprime lenders will be around on a stand-alone basis in a year," Robert Napoli, an analyst at Piper Jaffray, said. "Weak players will disappear and the originators that are left will be backed by much stronger players with more capital." Big companies that offer a wide range of mortgages, such as Citigroup , Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual and Countrywide, will be left to dominate the subprime sector, along with investment banks like Bear, Napoli predicted.

The shakeout is well underway. Of the top 25 subprime mortgage originators last year, only three -- New Century, Accredited and NovaStar -- remain independent specialists. At least 10 have gone bankrupt, been sold or are for sale. Most of the rest are already owned by larger companies.

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