Tornado Alley (PROG)

[blackhawks]

The race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is close to a dead heat less than five weeks before the election, according to a string of surveys this month—the latest four showing Harris with leads ranging from two to five points.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-vs-harris-2024-polls-harris-leads-in-4-new-national-surveys-amid-virtual-tie-in-swing-states/ar-BB1qv7uq?rc=1&ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=c963c27de49f4a98b980afe7702c01d7&ei=16

Key Facts

Harris leads 50% to 48% in an Emerson poll released Thursday, and she’s up five points, 51% to 46%, in Morning Consult’s weekly poll.

Harris leads by five points, 49% to 44%, in a Susquehanna poll released this week, and by three points in an Economist/YouGov poll out Wednesday, margins equal to Economist/YouGov’s previous poll taken Sept. 21-24.

Harris was up by 5 points, 50% to 45%, in last week’s Morning Consult poll, down from a six-point lead (her widest yet in Morning Consult polls) a week earlier, though her favorability rating among likely voters had reached a record high (53% compared to Trump’s 45%).

Three polls over the past month—a Quinnipiac survey released Sept. 24, a New York Times/Siena poll out Sept. 19 and a CNN/SSRS poll released Sept. 24—show Trump and Harris tied, while virtually all other polls show Harris ahead.

Harris has erased Trump’s lead over President Joe Biden since announcing her candidacy on July 21, though her edge has decreased slightly over the past two months, peaking at 3.7 points in late August, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted polling average.

Big Number

2.2. That’s how many points Harris leads Trump by in RealClearPolitics’ latest polling average. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight’s average shows Harris with a 2.8-point lead.

How Does Harris Perform Against Trump In Swing States?

Harris leads Trump by one point overall in the seven battleground states likely to decide the election: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia, according to Cook Political Report survey released Wednesday. Harris leads Trump in five of the states, Trump is up by two points in Georgia, and they’re tied in North Carolina.