Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR)

[GreedyAgorist]

Curious if this is the news you sell (after buying the rumor), or if this will be an exception to that rule.

As much as Mr Karp loves a squeeze, I don’t expect one here. While all the put options betting on non-inclusion will be destroyed, we are already at highs for the year. Make that the last three years. I remember selling a February call in 2021 with a strike price of 46 and I got 4.70 for it. That must have been on the day it spiked . We have been looking for it to revisit 40 ever since.

What could hold us down now? Back then, we had price discovery, speculation on a bright fresh face, with no pesky P/E ratio to worry about, because it wasn’t profitable yet. Now we have positive earnings and a ratio to go with them, and, yeah, that sucker is kind of high. Not to mention a lot of macro headwinds. History says Fed rate cuts, as welcome as they might be, mark the beginning of a recession. Are we recession-proof? And September and October are often brutal, at least one if not both months. Last two years, October has been the low for much of the market. Two years in a row hardly makes a streak, but again, there is much to suggest we are in the season for bargain-hunting, not FOMO.

Having said that, I won’t be surprised if this particular ticker continues to pump. I will adjust to the idea of selling cash covered puts in the low 30’s, instead of the mid 20’s. Feeling pretty good about those cash covered October 32s right now.