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Thursday, November 13, 2003 10:49:34 AM
Yes, I am. my claim is that it is not possible to 'accurately' predict hair color from DNA analysis.
If you read the application you will see that DNAP claims the ability to predict dark hair 95% of the time and light hair 70%.
Think about that.
Outside of those populations with ancestral roots [no pun intended] in northern europe, 100% of the worlds population has dark hair. Throwing darts at a map of the world would provide similar 'dark hair' accuracy. For light hair 70% accuracy. Give me a break. A coin flip is almost that good.
Not going to convict a lot of criminals with that kind of accuracy are we?
Prosecutor; "Ladies and gentlemen of the jury, intense DNAP analysis of a sample left at the crime scene suggests that the suspect has a 70% liklihood of having blonde hair. As you can see the suspect has blonde hair, this is obviously an open and shut case."
Defense; "Your honor, I object. The crime scene sample in question, was a human hair..... and it was brown. Who are these DNAP guys?"
regards,
frog
ps. I sure hope someone thoroughly 'proofed' that application, don't you?
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