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Re: Huggy Bear post# 68

Wednesday, 05/29/2024 10:17:09 PM

Wednesday, May 29, 2024 10:17:09 PM

Post# of 81
Thanks for all of your thoughts.

I try not to lean into conspiracy theories, however in this instance, there's something here that really reeks of a purpose driven, orchestrated phony take down for a specific reason.
1. somebody wants cheaper shares
2. somebody short wants to cover

Take a look here:
https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240529243/bank-ozk-rating-cut-to-sell-from-buy-at-citi-on-trepidation-over-two-loans

"Given that Bank OZK may have to increase its loan loss provision - which is an expense set aside as an allowance for uncollected loans and loan payments - Gerlinger cut his earnings estimates for the company.

He lowered his fiscal 2024 earnings estimate by about 5% to $5.94 a share, while the FactSet consensus estimate is currently $6.13 a share.

Gerlinger cut his 2025 earnings outlook by 8% to $6.41 a share, compared to the FactSet estimate of $6.36 a share."


...and that's worth a $6 haircut?? ( 15%) and OZK deserves to trade at a forward P/E of 6.5?

There is no way the market would "normally" react the way it did to the above analysis. MM were in on it, imo and wanted the stock to tank, no question about it imo.

I have had personal business experience with the brilliant, honest, and intelligent people of Arkansas,
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