Walt Disney Co (DIS)

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Disney (DIS) Stock Hoping For Another Post-Earnings Pop
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | May 3, 2024

• Disney stock has scored a positive post-earnings reaction in four of its last eight reports

• DIS options traders are betting bullishly ahead of the event

Apple (AAPL) is propping up the Dow to end the week after the tech titan's blowout corporate report. The next blue-chip to step into the earnings confessional will be Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS), set for its quarterly report before the market opens on Tuesday, May 7. Ahead of the event, options traders are betting bullishly, perhaps hoping the stock's recent post-earnings history skews to the upside.

Walt Disney stock closed higher the session after earnings in four of its last eight quarters, but finished positive after its last three, including a 11.5% pop in February. The shares averaged a 6.5% swing, regardless of direction, after their last eight earnings events. This time around, the options market is pricing in a larger post-earnings move of 7.5%.

DIS was last seen trading at $113.79, up 1% on the day. The shares are up 26% in 2024, with their 7% quarterly drawdown finding historical support at the site of that post-earnings bull gap from February. Don't expect much unwinding of pessimism from the blue-chip next week, considering there's only one "sell" rating on the stock, and a slim 1.1% of its total available float is sold short.

Echoing this, at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Volatility Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), DIS' 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.30 sits higher than 93% of readings from the past year. But with the equity sporting a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 16 out of 100 -- which indicates consistently realized lower volatility than its options have priced in -- a premium-selling strategy could be the move for the entertainment giant.

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