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Friday, 05/03/2024 11:07:00 AM

Friday, May 03, 2024 11:07:00 AM

Post# of 346232
Not sure if this has been posted. From Laughing Water

"Starting with the recent positive industry developments, in early February it was announced that Novo Holdings would be purchasing Catalent Inc. (CTLT), a publicly traded CDMO, for $16.5B. Novo Holdings would then sell three fill-finish sites to Novo Nordisk for $11 billion. The fill-finish assets are the real prize here, as Novo Nordisk is the manufacturer of blockbuster weight loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy, and there simply is not enough global fill-finish capacity to meet the demand for these drugs.

This transaction also has the potential to be hugely positive for Avid Bioservices, but in a different way. Avid’s largest customer is Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:HALO), who has traditionally split their business between Avid and Catalent. While this business is not likely to be forced to leave the Novo-Catalent facilities as is the case with the fill-finish business, Novo Holdings and Novo Nordisk are both involved with products that are seen as competition for HALO’s products, and industry whispers are that HALO is not pleased with the idea of outsourcing the production of their drug substance to their competition. As such, HALO may seek to take their business away from Novo-Catalent. HALO is thus presented with a choice. They can either a) choose a new CDMO and go through an FDA review to move their production or b) they can move more production to Avid Bioservices, which would not require FDA approval. There are of course sole source risks to be considered, but it seems likely that Avid could pick up meaningful incremental business."
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