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Friday, April 26, 2024 11:06:49 PM
By: Erin Swenlin | April 26, 2024
Whenever we see price gapping up or down, as happened with META in February, we prepare for the possibility of an island reversal. After the gap up, price forms a cluster, the island, and we ponder the possibility of a gap down to complete the reversal. During the formation of META's island, news coverage was very positive, but yesterday's earnings report made investors unhappy, and META really took a dive, jumping down across the gap.
While some might have been surprised by the final resolution, the chart gave ample clues, as there were negative divergences on both the PMO (price) and OBV (volume).
There was also a PMO negative divergence on the weekly chart.
Island reversals can happen to the downside as well as the upside.
However, we have two more island formations to monitor in the intermediate term. Neither appears that dangerous, as the clues we had on META are not visible on Amazon (AMZN) and NVIDIA (NVDA)...
* * *
Conclusion: META experienced a reverse island execution on earnings. Now we watch and wait to see what AMZN will do going into earnings as it is vulnerable to a gap down. NVDA doesn't report again until next month and thus is not as vulnerable to a reverse island decline.
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