Tornado Alley (PROG)

[B402]

'Special election' Dems ignore polls at their risk

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174007703
Full article posted...... Here is the link
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4518985-democrats-see-polls-as-overestimating-trumps-strength/amp/

To dems 2022 argument.....It ain't 2022

Voters also voted to protect abortion rights in red states like Kansas and Ohio, and Democrats won special elections in the Pennsylvania state house and most recently in New York’s 3rd Congressional District, where Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.), outperformed polls by roughly 4 percentage points.

“To me, the most significant electoral data out there is we keep winning elections,” Rosenberg said.

“It’s important to not rely on polls but to match it with what people are doing when they actually vote. When people go vote, Trump is underperforming public polling,” he added.

The flaw in that argument is Trump was not on the ballot in 2022.

And when Trump has been on the ballot, he’s tended to perform better than polls predict.