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Alias Born 11/16/2023

Re: None

Sunday, 03/10/2024 4:46:50 PM

Sunday, March 10, 2024 4:46:50 PM

Post# of 6017
My take on the interview:
Danone might not happen at all since it may be not so advantageous for the company
Revenues will be lumpy for another 2-3 quarters
RTDs is the real money maker that allows them to be cash flow positive
Toddler category is small
Hedge funds manipulate the stock
Expect more dilution
Serious investors still not convinced about their performance
Considering that market is forward looking, is the next dilution already baked in the stock price now?
Considering that they have been able to capture more than 1% of the toddler TAM so far (15% of $5.5B in NA)
$5.5B *0.15 = $750M * 0.01 = $7.5M
Does the market think they will be able to capture 1% ( around $220M) revenues of the $22B children RTDs category and consequently 1% of the $40B Adult RTD TAM ($400M)?
Stock is valued at $35M entering respectively a $22B and $40B addressable market - is this extremely undervalued?