Saturday, March 02, 2024 11:57:57 AM
Time to review his post from 8-22-22:
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1. You really don't know what's happening. The letter is fresh, and he wasn't able to talk to Banderas and Pappas according to his letter. We don't know if they are in discussions now or not.
2. It's not possible to conclude if Pappas and Banderas bought in or IFFF Denver Smith proposed it. But with Denver's allies and his recent buying, Pappas and Banderas, it doesn't take a big percentage of the retail investors to get in board. And the onlne consensus there is pretty clear. There is that path.
3. It's not that logical to conclude they see no way out of the mess. Banderas put up $3M of his own money last year. That's not very long ago and the landscape hasn't changed. Whatever he saw then, he sees now. And #2 is another fork in the road and way out. If they don't take it, that too is most likely bullish. Or, it means they were duped. Which I dn't find logical, but it may be a good coping mechanism for others that may have been duped. The more logical thing to concluce is that these high IQ's that may or may not be on the same page as Sam now -- or Sam on board with them now -- is that an intelligent plan fails. And that's called risk. And the floor is not that far below. It's only 20 cents. Unless someone were to have all their eggs in this basket, no reason to panic as the nervous nellies around here 24/7.
4. The fact that the stock doesn't trade high enough means they have no liquidity, as I noted. And that they are underwater, as I noted. So, they are stuck. That's bullish to me. A fire under their rears and a short runway without taking on more debt or more dilution at their own expense. It's called having Mr. Market in a headlock.
5. It's not obvious what, if anything, Denber presented or whether or not the board supported it or an agreement was reached. There will be a plan. There always is. And the fact that there is no way out for them but crash, burn, or fly, is good enough for me.
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Please don't argue with Noble Roman again. Or me, for that matter. As you can see, it's very costly when you think it's more important to be not wrong than it is to be right.
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